Charleston
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 963 (#190) | Preseason prior 966 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1093, returning -56, transfers -72, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 972 (#185) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 972 (#185) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.2 (#149) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.3 (#149) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.166 (#262) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.432 (#183) | AdjNet -3.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.419 (#191) | AdjNet -4.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.451 (#183) | AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 64.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.452 (#183) | AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 64.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.456 (#176) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.456 (#176) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 967 (#190) | RD 181 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.422 (#185) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Berry Vikings | W | 92 - 43 |
| 2026-11-07 | vs | Charleston Southern Buccaneers | W | 71 - 54 |
| 2026-11-10 | @ | USC Trojans | L | 44 - 105 |
| 2026-11-12 | @ | California Golden Bears | L | 64 - 78 |
| 2026-11-18 | @ | Queens University Royals | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Isla Juffermans
|
F | 4 | 24.2 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 10.5 | 15.2 | 11 | 4 | 2.8 | 4.6 | 59.5 | 33.3 | 72.2 | 3.09 | 64.1 | 60.7 |
Janna Vogelaar
|
G | 4 | 27.8 | 11.8 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 9.2 | 9.8 | -18 | 4 | -4.5 | -6.5 | 43.2 | 50.0 | 76.9 | -0.36 | 55.0 | 50.0 |
Anilys Rolon
|
G | 4 | 25.8 | 10.0 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 8.5 | 2.2 | -1 | 4 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 41.2 | 37.9 | 50.0 | -0.48 | 57.3 | 57.4 |
Abby Jegede
|
G | 4 | 21.8 | 6.5 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.5 | 4.2 | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 30.8 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 0.37 | 41.6 | 30.8 |
Mia James
|
G | 4 | 22.8 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 7.2 | -10 | 4 | -2.5 | -4.4 | 58.3 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 0.25 | 74.1 | 70.8 |
Dakara Merthie
|
G | 4 | 9.8 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 4.8 | 11 | 4 | 2.8 | 11.3 | 61.5 | 62.5 | 100.0 | -0.22 | 82.9 | 80.8 |
Chanel Ndi
|
F | 4 | 21.2 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 5.2 | 0.2 | -17 | 4 | -4.2 | -8.0 | 28.6 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.65 | 31.7 | 28.6 |
Tyja Beans
|
G | 3 | 20.0 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 5.7 | 0.3 | -36 | 3 | -12.0 | -23.8 | 23.5 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -2.86 | 28.0 | 26.5 |
Camila De Pool
|
G | 4 | 10.2 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 1 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 30.8 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.87 | 35.2 | 30.8 |
Aubrey Stevenson
|
G | 4 | 15.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -3.13 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Maggie Spell
|
G | 4 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 10 | 4 | 2.5 | 16.5 | 22.2 | 22.2 | 0 | -0.07 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
230 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Isla JuffermansAnilys RolonJanna VogelaarMia JamesAbby JegedeChanel Ndi
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 19-40 | 47.5 | 38 | Isla Juffermans 32% (12 pts) | Abby Jegede 16% (6 pts) | Chanel Ndi 29% (6 misses) | Isla Juffermans 24% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 45-90 | 50.0 | 90 | Isla Juffermans 36% (32 pts) | Janna Vogelaar 16% (14 pts) | Abby Jegede 18% (8 misses) | Isla Juffermans 18% (8 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-6 | 33.3 | 4 | Anilys Rolon 50% (2 pts) | Janna Vogelaar 50% (2 pts) | Janna Vogelaar 50% (2 misses) | Dakara Merthie 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-9 | 11.1 | 2 | Isla Juffermans 100% (2 pts) | - | Abby Jegede 25% (2 misses) | Chanel Ndi 25% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 2-12 | 16.7 | 4 | Isla Juffermans 50% (2 pts) | Mia James 50% (2 pts) | Janna Vogelaar 50% (5 misses) | Tyja Beans 30% (3 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-5 | 40.0 | 6 | Janna Vogelaar 50% (3 pts) | Tyja Beans 50% (3 pts) | Mia James 67% (2 misses) | Maggie Spell 33% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-6 | 33.3 | 6 | Anilys Rolon 100% (6 pts) | - | Abby Jegede 50% (2 misses) | Anilys Rolon 50% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 15-26 | 57.7 | 45 | Anilys Rolon 40% (18 pts) | Dakara Merthie 27% (12 pts) | Anilys Rolon 27% (3 misses) | Maggie Spell 27% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 4-11 | 36.4 | 12 | Janna Vogelaar 50% (6 pts) | Anilys Rolon 25% (3 pts) | Anilys Rolon 43% (3 misses) | Isla Juffermans 29% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 5-25 | 20.0 | 15 | Anilys Rolon 40% (6 pts) | Dakara Merthie 20% (3 pts) | Anilys Rolon 50% (10 misses) | Abby Jegede 15% (3 misses) |