Montana State Bobcats
2026 Team Stats (32 games)
72.2
PPG
61.1
Opp
+11.1
Margin
40.5%
FG%
28.3%
3P%
67.1%
FT%
36.6
RPG
14.5
APG
15.6
TO
89.5
Pace
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1123 (#43) | HCA +113 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +21.3 (#82) | HCA +2.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.727 (#50) | AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 56.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.913 (#60) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.893 (#59) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1240 (#51) | RD 100 | GP 32 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
T. Chirrick
|
G | 32 | 31.4 | 17.8 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 14.2 | 15.5 | 207 | 9.4 | 11.7 | 44.2 | 32.2 | 66.7 | 3.18 | 53.4 | 49.6 |
A. Harris
|
F | 32 | 25.9 | 13.6 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 12.2 | 6.7 | 191 | 8.7 | 12.8 | 44.5 | 26.5 | 60.2 | 3.13 | 50.4 | 48.5 |
J. Philip
|
G | 32 | 24.8 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 7.2 | 7.4 | 117 | 5.3 | 8.2 | 39.0 | 19.2 | 82.7 | -0.46 | 49.4 | 41.1 |
I. Bunyan
|
G | 32 | 26.2 | 7.4 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 7.1 | 4.7 | 144 | 6.5 | 9.9 | 36.8 | 33.5 | 64.0 | -0.58 | 49.6 | 48.5 |
H. Smith
|
G | 5 | 20.4 | 6.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 5.2 | 4.0 | 33 | 4.7 | 15.3 | 57.7 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 1.16 | 55.9 | 57.7 |
B. Bailey
|
G | 32 | 16.6 | 5.9 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 5.6 | 3.3 | 94 | 4.3 | 11.7 | 41.9 | 30.6 | 57.1 | 3.73 | 47.9 | 46.1 |
E. Johnson
|
F | 32 | 23.8 | 5.4 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 4.9 | 9.2 | 193 | 8.8 | 14.4 | 44.6 | 34.4 | 59.1 | 4.71 | 52.2 | 51.3 |
T. Erickson
|
F | 30 | 15.4 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 5.1 | 3.6 | -14 | -0.7 | -1.6 | 37.7 | 25.4 | 63.6 | -3.11 | 45.2 | 43.5 |
B. Fatupaito
|
G | 16 | 14.6 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 15 | 2.5 | 8.7 | 42.6 | 33.3 | 81.8 | -3.57 | 49.4 | 45.9 |
K. Couture
|
G | 32 | 15.8 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 59 | 2.7 | 7.2 | 29.4 | 25.4 | 64.7 | -0.51 | 37.6 | 35.7 |
G. Hintz
|
G | 23 | 8.3 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 24 | 1.3 | 5.7 | 27.8 | 18.4 | 100.0 | 0.96 | 36.2 | 34.3 |
C. Smith
|
G | 24 | 9.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 34 | 1.6 | 4.6 | 24.1 | 13.8 | 71.4 | 0.73 | 30.3 | 27.6 |
D. Philip
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
D. Brumfield
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG