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James Madison Dukes

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: James Madison Dukes
Program History

2026 Team Stats (32 games)

74.5
PPG
62.3
Opp
+12.2
Margin
45.1%
FG%
31.8%
3P%
67.4%
FT%
41.7
RPG
15.5
APG
15.1
TO
85.3
Pace
73.7
AdjO
56.4
AdjD
#43
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1244 (#38) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1258 (#45) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 1146 (#27) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +17.8 (#44) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +34.1 (#30) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.898 (#31) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +15.1 More → 0.872 (#55) NetEff +15.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +27.1 More → 0.958 (#43) AdjNet +27.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +27.4 More → 0.961 (#43) AdjNet +27.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 56.4 More → 0.828 (#43) AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 56.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 53.8 More → 0.844 (#17) AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 53.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.950 (#35) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.942 (#29) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 115 | GP 32 More → 1255 (#45) RD 115 | GP 32

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 vs George Mason Patriots L 57 - 72
2025-11-09 vs Queens University Royals W 87 - 38
2025-11-12 vs Liberty Flames W 74 - 61
2025-11-16 vs Villanova Wildcats L 73 - 84
2025-11-19 @ Texas Longhorns L 56 - 95
2025-11-28 vs Boston College Eagles W 73 - 53
2025-12-03 @ East Carolina Pirates W 83 - 66
2025-12-07 vs VCU Rams W 81 - 63
2025-12-14 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 65 - 78
2025-12-17 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 71 - 68
2025-12-20 @ Marshall Thundering Herd L 74 - 83
2026-01-01 vs Georgia State Panthers W 84 - 64
2026-01-03 vs Texas State Bobcats W 87 - 52
2026-01-07 @ Georgia Southern Eagles L 70 - 78
2026-01-10 @ Georgia State Panthers L 70 - 72
2026-01-15 vs Marshall Thundering Herd W 80 - 43
2026-01-17 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 67 - 60
2026-01-22 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 72 - 68
2026-01-24 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 67 - 74
2026-01-29 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 96 - 45
2026-01-31 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 88 - 52
2026-02-04 @ Southern Miss Lady Eagles W 83 - 72
2026-02-08 @ Massachusetts Minutewomen W 71 - 57
2026-02-11 @ App State Mountaineers W 60 - 53
2026-02-14 @ Old Dominion Monarchs W 87 - 53
2026-02-21 vs App State Mountaineers W 74 - 48
2026-02-25 vs Old Dominion Monarchs W 77 - 55
2026-02-27 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 72 - 56
2026-03-07 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 79 - 54
2026-03-08 @ Georgia Southern Eagles W 81 - 53
2026-03-09 @ Troy Trojans W 69 - 52
2026-03-21 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 56 - 71

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
P. McDaniel P. McDaniel G 32 32.8 18.2 7.4 2.2 1.6 0.5 1.5 15.0 13.3 95 3.5 4.6 43.9 33.6 81.3 3.52 55.0 51.4
A. Barnes A. Barnes F 32 28.8 15.2 9.0 2.6 1.2 0.4 2.2 12.1 14.0 110 4.4 5.5 50.1 22.9 63.2 3.15 54.3 51.6
B. Robinson B. Robinson G 32 33.7 12.1 2.8 3.2 2.4 0.1 2.5 10.2 7.9 81 3.2 3.7 45.9 33.7 81.5 4.06 54.4 51.1
Z. Stephenson Z. Stephenson G 32 28.2 8.0 2.3 4.2 1.8 0.2 3.4 7.7 5.4 62 2.5 3.0 33.6 31.1 61.5 -2.09 44.4 40.3
G. McDonough G. McDonough F 32 18.5 6.7 3.8 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.7 4.6 6.7 79 3.2 6.2 64.2 0 64.1 3.3 65.1 64.2
K. Marshall K. Marshall G 25 9.8 4.1 1.4 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.6 4.1 1.3 84 3.8 9.8 35.0 28.8 84.6 2.44 46.9 44.2
D. Soltys D. Soltys G 32 19.0 4.0 4.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 1.2 3.4 5.9 68 2.7 5.2 41.3 42.9 69.6 1.01 53.3 50.9
B. McLeod B. McLeod F 30 15.7 3.9 3.1 0.2 0.5 1.6 1.0 2.7 5.5 74 2.8 5.8 53.7 0 46.0 1.7 53.3 53.7
A. Williams A. Williams G 29 10.2 3.3 2.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 1.3 3.3 2.7 157 6.0 18.5 40.6 22.9 58.8 2.74 46.4 44.8
R. Walton R. Walton G 23 10.2 0.7 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.7 1.1 23 1.5 5.8 37.5 33.3 0 -0.59 46.9 46.9
J. Eleby J. Eleby F 14 3.4 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.6 17 2.1 24.8 16.7 0.0 100.0 1.65 29.1 16.7
A. Poole A. Poole G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
M. Oliver M. Oliver G 4 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 -7 -1.8 -25.5 0.0 0.0 0 -1.44 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG