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Fairfield

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

77.7
PPG
60.0
Opp
+17.7
Margin
49.4%
FG%
38.4%
3P%
78.4%
FT%
27.3
RPG
18.3
APG
13.3
TO
67.8
Est. poss./game
72.6
Adj PPG
61.6
Adj Opp PPG
#25
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1526 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1177, returning +237, transfers +112, freshmen +0 More โ†’ 1538 (#10) Preseason prior 1526 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1177, returning +237, transfers +112, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +169 elo More โ†’ 1358 (#7) HCA +169 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +169 elo More โ†’ 1353 (#7) HCA +169 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.7 More โ†’ +25.8 (#27) HCA +1.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.6 More โ†’ +25.7 (#27) HCA +1.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.969 (#37) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.7 More โ†’ 0.911 (#33) AdjNet +20.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +21.4 More โ†’ 0.918 (#33) AdjNet +21.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 61.6 More โ†’ 0.853 (#25) AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 61.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 61.6 More โ†’ 0.850 (#25) AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 61.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.909 (#22) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.909 (#22) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 176 | GP 3 More โ†’ 1383 (#8) RD 176 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.948 (#12) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-06 vs Binghamton Bearcats W 90 - 63
2026-11-08 vs Vermont Catamounts W 74 - 50
2026-11-12 @ Seton Hall Pirates W 69 - 67
2026-11-15 vs Villanova Wildcats - Preview
2026-11-19 @ Oregon Ducks - Preview
2026-11-21 @ Oregon State Beavers - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kaety L'Amoreaux Kaety L'Amoreaux G 3 35.7 21.0 4.3 7.0 1.3 0.3 2.7 11.3 20.0 47 3 15.7 17.6 58.8 66.7 100.0 3.07 77.6 70.6
Meghan Andersen Meghan Andersen F 3 30.3 12.3 3.0 1.7 1.7 0.7 2.3 10.7 6.3 53 3 17.7 23.2 43.8 40.9 0 3.23 57.8 57.8
Cyanne Coe Cyanne Coe F 3 22.7 11.0 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.0 0.7 8.3 9.0 28 3 9.3 16.5 64.0 0 25.0 1.11 61.7 64.0
Lana McCarthy Lana McCarthy F 3 17.3 9.3 5.7 0.7 0.3 0.7 1.7 7.7 7.3 31 3 10.3 24.1 56.5 0 50.0 2.44 56.5 56.5
Milou van Vliet Milou van Vliet F 2 21.0 8.5 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 7.0 6.0 25 2 12.5 23.6 57.1 33.3 0 0.29 60.7 60.7
Paige Kohler Paige Kohler G 3 22.3 4.7 1.0 2.3 1.7 0.0 0.7 2.7 6.3 35 3 11.7 20.8 50.0 66.7 50.0 0.83 71.7 75.0
Keyarah Gregory Keyarah Gregory G 3 12.0 4.7 2.3 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.7 2.3 5.3 22 3 7.3 24.4 57.1 0.0 100.0 1.66 72.6 57.1
Addison Rhodes Addison Rhodes G 3 14.7 4.3 0.7 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.3 6.0 0.0 9 3 3.0 8.0 27.8 18.8 0 -1.36 36.1 36.1
Jillian Huerter Jillian Huerter G 3 21.7 3.0 1.7 2.0 0.3 0.3 2.0 4.3 1.0 23 3 7.7 14.2 15.4 18.2 75.0 0.66 30.5 23.1
Emma Rogers Emma Rogers G 3 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 -4 3 -1.3 -20.6 50.0 50.0 0 -1.72 75.0 75.0
Nia Green Nia Green G 3 5.3 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.7 0 3 0.0 0.0 50.0 0 0 -1.87 50.0 50.0
Caterina Ravosa Caterina Ravosa F 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -4 1 -4.0 -47.3 0 0 0 -1.4 0 0
Gabrielle Vaughn Gabrielle Vaughn G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Casey Prior Casey Prior G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

177 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Coe27% Coe30% L'Amoreaux50% Andersen67% Andersen67% L'Amoreaux38% L'Amoreaux50% Andersen60%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
McCarthy33% L'Amoreaux40% L'Amoreaux50% Andersen67% Vliet100% Rhodes57% Rhodes40% Huerter33% L'Amoreaux40% Andersen44%
Misses: who misses most here

Kaety L'AmoreauxMeghan AndersenCyanne CoeLana McCarthyMilou van VlietAddison RhodesJillian Huerter

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 48-72 66.7 96 Cyanne Coe 27% (26 pts) Lana McCarthy 27% (26 pts) Lana McCarthy 33% (8 misses) Cyanne Coe 29% (7 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 10-25 40.0 20 Cyanne Coe 30% (6 pts) Kaety L'Amoreaux 20% (4 pts) Kaety L'Amoreaux 40% (6 misses) Meghan Andersen 20% (3 misses)
Mid-range left 0-2 0.0 0 - - Kaety L'Amoreaux 50% (1 misses) Nia Green 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 0-3 0.0 0 - - Meghan Andersen 67% (2 misses) Cyanne Coe 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 2-3 66.7 4 Kaety L'Amoreaux 50% (2 pts) Meghan Andersen 50% (2 pts) Milou van Vliet 100% (1 misses) -
Left corner 3 3-10 30.0 9 Meghan Andersen 67% (6 pts) Addison Rhodes 33% (3 pts) Addison Rhodes 57% (4 misses) Emma Rogers 14% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 3-8 37.5 9 Meghan Andersen 67% (6 pts) Kaety L'Amoreaux 33% (3 pts) Addison Rhodes 40% (2 misses) Meghan Andersen 40% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left 13-22 59.1 39 Kaety L'Amoreaux 38% (15 pts) Addison Rhodes 15% (6 pts) Jillian Huerter 33% (3 misses) Addison Rhodes 22% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 center 4-9 44.4 12 Kaety L'Amoreaux 50% (6 pts) Jillian Huerter 25% (3 pts) Kaety L'Amoreaux 40% (2 misses) Addison Rhodes 20% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 5-23 21.7 15 Meghan Andersen 60% (9 pts) Paige Kohler 40% (6 pts) Meghan Andersen 44% (8 misses) Jillian Huerter 28% (5 misses)