Fairfield
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1538 (#10) | Preseason prior 1526 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1177, returning +237, transfers +112, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1358 (#7) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1353 (#7) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +25.8 (#27) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +25.7 (#27) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.969 (#37) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.911 (#33) | AdjNet +20.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.918 (#33) | AdjNet +21.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.853 (#25) | AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 61.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.850 (#25) | AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 61.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.909 (#22) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.909 (#22) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1383 (#8) | RD 176 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.948 (#12) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | vs | Binghamton Bearcats | W | 90 - 63 |
| 2026-11-08 | vs | Vermont Catamounts | W | 74 - 50 |
| 2026-11-12 | @ | Seton Hall Pirates | W | 69 - 67 |
| 2026-11-15 | vs | Villanova Wildcats | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-19 | @ | Oregon Ducks | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | @ | Oregon State Beavers | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kaety L'Amoreaux
|
G | 3 | 35.7 | 21.0 | 4.3 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 11.3 | 20.0 | 47 | 3 | 15.7 | 17.6 | 58.8 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 3.07 | 77.6 | 70.6 |
Meghan Andersen
|
F | 3 | 30.3 | 12.3 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 10.7 | 6.3 | 53 | 3 | 17.7 | 23.2 | 43.8 | 40.9 | 0 | 3.23 | 57.8 | 57.8 |
Cyanne Coe
|
F | 3 | 22.7 | 11.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 8.3 | 9.0 | 28 | 3 | 9.3 | 16.5 | 64.0 | 0 | 25.0 | 1.11 | 61.7 | 64.0 |
Lana McCarthy
|
F | 3 | 17.3 | 9.3 | 5.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 7.7 | 7.3 | 31 | 3 | 10.3 | 24.1 | 56.5 | 0 | 50.0 | 2.44 | 56.5 | 56.5 |
Milou van Vliet
|
F | 2 | 21.0 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 25 | 2 | 12.5 | 23.6 | 57.1 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.29 | 60.7 | 60.7 |
Paige Kohler
|
G | 3 | 22.3 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 6.3 | 35 | 3 | 11.7 | 20.8 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0.83 | 71.7 | 75.0 |
Keyarah Gregory
|
G | 3 | 12.0 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 5.3 | 22 | 3 | 7.3 | 24.4 | 57.1 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.66 | 72.6 | 57.1 |
Addison Rhodes
|
G | 3 | 14.7 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 9 | 3 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 27.8 | 18.8 | 0 | -1.36 | 36.1 | 36.1 |
Jillian Huerter
|
G | 3 | 21.7 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 23 | 3 | 7.7 | 14.2 | 15.4 | 18.2 | 75.0 | 0.66 | 30.5 | 23.1 |
Emma Rogers
|
G | 3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | -4 | 3 | -1.3 | -20.6 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.72 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Nia Green
|
G | 3 | 5.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.87 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Caterina Ravosa
|
F | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -4 | 1 | -4.0 | -47.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 | 0 | 0 |
Gabrielle Vaughn
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Casey Prior
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
177 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Kaety L'AmoreauxMeghan AndersenCyanne CoeLana McCarthyMilou van VlietAddison RhodesJillian Huerter
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 48-72 | 66.7 | 96 | Cyanne Coe 27% (26 pts) | Lana McCarthy 27% (26 pts) | Lana McCarthy 33% (8 misses) | Cyanne Coe 29% (7 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 10-25 | 40.0 | 20 | Cyanne Coe 30% (6 pts) | Kaety L'Amoreaux 20% (4 pts) | Kaety L'Amoreaux 40% (6 misses) | Meghan Andersen 20% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Kaety L'Amoreaux 50% (1 misses) | Nia Green 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Meghan Andersen 67% (2 misses) | Cyanne Coe 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 2-3 | 66.7 | 4 | Kaety L'Amoreaux 50% (2 pts) | Meghan Andersen 50% (2 pts) | Milou van Vliet 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Left corner 3 | 3-10 | 30.0 | 9 | Meghan Andersen 67% (6 pts) | Addison Rhodes 33% (3 pts) | Addison Rhodes 57% (4 misses) | Emma Rogers 14% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-8 | 37.5 | 9 | Meghan Andersen 67% (6 pts) | Kaety L'Amoreaux 33% (3 pts) | Addison Rhodes 40% (2 misses) | Meghan Andersen 40% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 13-22 | 59.1 | 39 | Kaety L'Amoreaux 38% (15 pts) | Addison Rhodes 15% (6 pts) | Jillian Huerter 33% (3 misses) | Addison Rhodes 22% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 4-9 | 44.4 | 12 | Kaety L'Amoreaux 50% (6 pts) | Jillian Huerter 25% (3 pts) | Kaety L'Amoreaux 40% (2 misses) | Addison Rhodes 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 5-23 | 21.7 | 15 | Meghan Andersen 60% (9 pts) | Paige Kohler 40% (6 pts) | Meghan Andersen 44% (8 misses) | Jillian Huerter 28% (5 misses) |