Columbia
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
72.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
43.2%
FG%
36.8%
3P%
73.9%
FT%
39.0
RPG
16.8
APG
17.3
TO
71.6
Est. poss./game
70.6
Adj PPG
60.8
Adj Opp PPG
#59
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1289 (#50) | Preseason prior 1260 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1190, returning +124, transfers -55, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1161 (#60) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1158 (#60) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +22.9 (#34) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +22.9 (#34) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.778 (#96) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.848 (#48) | AdjNet +19.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.850 (#50) | AdjNet +18.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.743 (#59) | AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 60.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.742 (#59) | AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 60.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.811 (#52) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.811 (#52) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1172 (#64) | RD 170 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.819 (#58) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Davidson Wildcats | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | Rhode Island Rams | W | 76 - 62 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ | Belmont Bruins | W | 84 - 64 |
| 2026-11-12 | vs | Michigan Wolverines | L | 58 - 81 |
| 2026-11-15 | @ | Maryland Terrapins | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | vs | Duke Blue Devils | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Riley Weiss
|
G | 4 | 33.8 | 20.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 33 | 4 | 8.2 | 9.9 | 41.2 | 32.0 | 94.1 | 6.92 | 53.0 | 47.1 |
Mary Ashley Stevenson
|
F | 4 | 28.5 | 14.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 8.5 | 12.8 | 13 | 4 | 3.2 | 4.6 | 61.8 | 40.0 | 87.5 | -1.1 | 70.7 | 64.7 |
Mia Broom
|
G | 4 | 30.5 | 12.5 | 4.8 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 11.8 | 9.5 | 9 | 4 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 36.2 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 1.67 | 50.4 | 46.8 |
Fliss Henderson
|
G | 4 | 30.0 | 7.8 | 10.2 | 4.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 6.2 | 15.2 | 24 | 4 | 6.0 | 8.2 | 44.0 | 100.0 | 54.5 | -0.08 | 51.9 | 50.0 |
Hilke Feldrappe
|
F | 4 | 26.2 | 7.0 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 7.8 | 6.8 | 9 | 4 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 32.3 | 18.2 | 50.0 | 1.66 | 38.6 | 35.5 |
Chloe Dix
|
G | 4 | 10.8 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 55.6 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.23 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
Nasi Simmons
|
G | 4 | 16.0 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 5 | 4 | 1.2 | 3.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.06 | 50.6 | 50.0 |
Mathis Dritz
|
F | 4 | 9.5 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 2.2 | -12 | 4 | -3.0 | -12.6 | 45.5 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.62 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Alicia Mitchell
|
F | 3 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 3 | 0.3 | 4.6 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -2.94 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
Eirny Erinugha
|
F | 4 | 10.8 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2.0 | -5 | 4 | -1.2 | -4.7 | 20.0 | 0 | 33.3 | -0.78 | 23.7 | 20.0 |
Blau Tor
|
G | 2 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 2 | 2.0 | 20.7 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.25 | 56.8 | 0 |
Marija Avlijas
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Marta Jaama
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Chloe Vella
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
243 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Riley WeissMary Ashley StevensonMia BroomFliss HendersonHilke FeldrappeChloe DixMathis DritzNasi Simmons
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 32-59 | 54.2 | 64 | Mary Ashley Stevenson 28% (18 pts) | Riley Weiss 16% (10 pts) | Mary Ashley Stevenson 22% (6 misses) | Mia Broom 22% (6 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 35-83 | 42.2 | 70 | Mary Ashley Stevenson 26% (18 pts) | Riley Weiss 23% (16 pts) | Mia Broom 25% (12 misses) | Riley Weiss 25% (12 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-7 | 42.9 | 6 | Mathis Dritz 67% (4 pts) | Riley Weiss 33% (2 pts) | Hilke Feldrappe 50% (2 misses) | Mary Ashley Stevenson 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-4 | 50.0 | 4 | Riley Weiss 100% (4 pts) | - | Mia Broom 50% (1 misses) | Riley Weiss 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 5-14 | 35.7 | 10 | Riley Weiss 80% (8 pts) | Mary Ashley Stevenson 20% (2 pts) | Riley Weiss 44% (4 misses) | Fliss Henderson 22% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-8 | 25.0 | 6 | Chloe Dix 50% (3 pts) | Mia Broom 50% (3 pts) | Hilke Feldrappe 50% (3 misses) | Chloe Dix 17% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-9 | 33.3 | 9 | Riley Weiss 67% (6 pts) | Mia Broom 33% (3 pts) | Nasi Simmons 50% (3 misses) | Hilke Feldrappe 17% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 11-24 | 45.8 | 33 | Mia Broom 45% (15 pts) | Riley Weiss 27% (9 pts) | Riley Weiss 46% (6 misses) | Chloe Dix 15% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 4-11 | 36.4 | 12 | Mary Ashley Stevenson 50% (6 pts) | Hilke Feldrappe 25% (3 pts) | Hilke Feldrappe 43% (3 misses) | Mary Ashley Stevenson 29% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 8-24 | 33.3 | 24 | Fliss Henderson 38% (9 pts) | Riley Weiss 38% (9 pts) | Riley Weiss 50% (8 misses) | Mia Broom 38% (6 misses) |