Michigan
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1631 (#3) | Preseason prior 1583 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1260, returning +294, transfers +30, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1397 (#3) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1390 (#3) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +45.1 (#5) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +45.1 (#5) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.989 (#16) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.974 (#7) | AdjNet +41.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.975 (#8) | AdjNet +40.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.945 (#4) | AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 51.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.945 (#4) | AdjO 80.0 | AdjD 51.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.965 (#4) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.965 (#4) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1421 (#2) | RD 179 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.974 (#5) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | vs | UConn Huskies | W | 77 - 66 |
| 2026-11-08 | vs | Wright State Raiders | W | 109 - 52 |
| 2026-11-12 | @ | Columbia Lions | W | 81 - 58 |
| 2026-11-16 | @ | Central Michigan Chippewas | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | Niagara Purple Eagles | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Olivia Olson
|
G | 3 | 30.3 | 17.7 | 5.7 | 5.3 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 17.7 | 76 | 3 | 25.3 | 33.1 | 52.8 | 41.7 | 76.9 | 5.42 | 63.5 | 59.7 |
Te'Yala Delfosse
|
G | 3 | 29.7 | 14.7 | 6.3 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 11.7 | 14.7 | 51 | 3 | 17.0 | 22.8 | 48.6 | 50.0 | 60.0 | 2.82 | 59.1 | 58.6 |
Syla Swords
|
G | 3 | 31.0 | 14.3 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 10.3 | 9.0 | 74 | 3 | 24.7 | 32.1 | 51.6 | 29.4 | 85.7 | 5.57 | 63.1 | 59.7 |
Dallas Loughridge
|
G | 3 | 33.3 | 11.0 | 1.7 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 8.3 | 12.0 | 84 | 3 | 28.0 | 33.7 | 44.0 | 62.5 | 85.7 | 4.25 | 58.8 | 54.0 |
Kendall Dudley
|
G | 3 | 23.0 | 10.7 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 7.0 | 12.7 | 66 | 3 | 22.0 | 37.7 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 2.74 | 67.7 | 66.7 |
Courtney Ogden
|
F | 3 | 15.0 | 7.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 33 | 3 | 11.0 | 29.5 | 52.6 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 3.0 | 57.8 | 57.9 |
Ashley Sofilkanich
|
F | 3 | 15.3 | 6.0 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 4.7 | 29 | 3 | 9.7 | 26.0 | 41.2 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.21 | 43.9 | 41.2 |
Jessica Fields
|
F | 2 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 9 | 2 | 4.5 | 25.4 | 80.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.01 | 82.7 | 80.0 |
Devin Cosgriff
|
G | 3 | 8.7 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 16 | 3 | 5.3 | 24.7 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 75.0 | -0.66 | 41.0 | 31.2 |
Fope Ayo
|
F | 3 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 8 | 3 | 2.7 | 33.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.47 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Ciara Byars
|
F | 3 | 6.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 9 | 3 | 3.0 | 20.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.28 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Macy Brown
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Aaiyanna Dunbar
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
J. Holloway
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Michigan players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Michigan game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naz Hillmon | 2018-22 | WNBA | Atlanta Dream | 43 | 28.8 | 9.1 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 10-31 3 pts, 3 reb, 3 ast Playoffs | 7 GP, 5.7 PPG, 5.1 RPG, 1.0 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | Naz Hillmon | WNBA Playoffs | Atlanta Dream | @ Golden State Valkyries | 33 | 3 | 3 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-10-29 | Naz Hillmon | WNBA Playoffs | Atlanta Dream | vs Golden State Valkyries | 30 | 7 | 5 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-10-26 | Naz Hillmon | WNBA Playoffs | Atlanta Dream | @ Golden State Valkyries | 34 | 2 | 11 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-04-29 | Laila Phelia | WNBA Preseason | Atlanta Dream | @ Chicago Sky | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-04-29 | Jordan Hobbs | WNBA Preseason | Chicago Sky | vs Atlanta Dream | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-04-25 | Jordan Hobbs | WNBA Preseason | Chicago Sky | @ Phoenix Mercury | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
200 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Olivia OlsonTe'Yala DelfosseSyla SwordsKendall DudleyDallas LoughridgeCourtney OgdenAshley Sofilkanich
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 46-62 | 74.2 | 92 | Kendall Dudley 22% (20 pts) | Olivia Olson 13% (12 pts) | Dallas Loughridge 19% (3 misses) | Olivia Olson 19% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 27-58 | 46.6 | 54 | Olivia Olson 26% (14 pts) | Dallas Loughridge 15% (8 pts) | Ashley Sofilkanich 29% (9 misses) | Te'Yala Delfosse 19% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-4 | 25.0 | 2 | Te'Yala Delfosse 100% (2 pts) | - | Courtney Ogden 33% (1 misses) | Dallas Loughridge 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-5 | 20.0 | 2 | Olivia Olson 100% (2 pts) | - | Dallas Loughridge 50% (2 misses) | Devin Cosgriff 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 2-9 | 22.2 | 4 | Syla Swords 100% (4 pts) | - | Olivia Olson 43% (3 misses) | Dallas Loughridge 29% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 5-9 | 55.6 | 15 | Te'Yala Delfosse 40% (6 pts) | Devin Cosgriff 20% (3 pts) | Te'Yala Delfosse 75% (3 misses) | Kendall Dudley 25% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-11 | 27.3 | 9 | Olivia Olson 33% (3 pts) | Syla Swords 33% (3 pts) | Syla Swords 62% (5 misses) | Devin Cosgriff 12% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 4-13 | 30.8 | 12 | Dallas Loughridge 50% (6 pts) | Courtney Ogden 25% (3 pts) | Courtney Ogden 33% (3 misses) | Syla Swords 22% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 4-13 | 30.8 | 12 | Syla Swords 50% (6 pts) | Courtney Ogden 25% (3 pts) | Olivia Olson 44% (4 misses) | Dallas Loughridge 33% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 9-16 | 56.2 | 27 | Dallas Loughridge 33% (9 pts) | Te'Yala Delfosse 33% (9 pts) | Syla Swords 57% (4 misses) | Olivia Olson 29% (2 misses) |