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Northwestern Wildcats

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Northwestern Wildcats
Program History

2026 Team Stats (27 games)

65.3
PPG
75.6
Opp
-10.3
Margin
42.7%
FG%
30.0%
3P%
71.9%
FT%
33.1
RPG
17.5
APG
16.1
TO
80.2
Pace
71.4
AdjO
66.8
AdjD
#115
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 793 (#307) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 983 (#187) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 851 (#570) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +4.9 (#114) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +15.2 (#133) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.152 (#299) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -10.9 More → 0.212 (#259) NetEff -10.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.4 More → 0.725 (#110) AdjNet +8.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.1 More → 0.741 (#106) AdjNet +9.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 66.8 More → 0.604 (#115) AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 66.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 68.8 More → 0.399 (#457) AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 68.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.732 (#185) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.660 (#204) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 169 | GP 27 More → 921 (#342) RD 169 | GP 27

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-05 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 67 - 64
2025-11-09 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 64 - 51
2025-11-14 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 69 - 54
2025-11-17 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 79 - 72
2025-11-21 vs Cleveland State Vikings W 75 - 68
2025-11-28 vs Abilene Christian Wildcats W 62 - 59
2025-12-03 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 62 - 74
2025-12-07 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 70 - 79
2025-12-14 @ Utah Utes L 66 - 91
2025-12-18 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 68 - 69
2025-12-29 @ Washington Huskies L 73 - 94
2026-01-01 @ Oregon Ducks L 54 - 87
2026-01-05 vs Iowa Hawkeyes L 58 - 67
2026-01-08 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 47 - 79
2026-01-11 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 73 - 54
2026-01-15 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 66 - 61
2026-01-18 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 71 - 74
2026-01-25 vs UCLA Bruins L 46 - 80
2026-01-28 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 73 - 89
2026-02-01 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 75 - 89
2026-02-05 vs USC Trojans L 65 - 83
2026-02-12 vs Michigan Wolverines L 58 - 80
2026-02-15 @ Penn State Lady Lions L 71 - 81
2026-02-18 @ Michigan State Spartans L 68 - 104
2026-02-22 vs Illinois Fighting Illini L 65 - 92
2026-02-25 @ Maryland Terrapins L 57 - 79
2026-03-01 vs Purdue Boilermakers L 62 - 67

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
G. Sullivan G. Sullivan F 27 33.7 21.0 5.9 1.1 1.0 0.8 2.1 17.2 10.6 -75 -3.4 -4.1 52.6 0.0 77.7 1.34 55.8 52.6
C. Harter C. Harter G 25 35.4 10.2 3.4 2.2 0.5 0.5 1.8 8.4 6.7 -94 -4.7 -5.6 40.2 35.4 84.1 -0.21 54.1 48.6
T. Thomas T. Thomas F 27 24.0 9.6 7.3 0.9 0.6 1.1 2.4 7.7 9.3 30 1.5 3.5 45.7 21.9 66.7 -1.73 52.0 47.4
C. Lau C. Lau G 27 33.9 8.6 5.4 8.5 1.0 0.2 4.3 8.9 10.4 -100 -4.3 -5.5 34.3 31.3 67.4 -0.34 44.6 41.8
X. Walton X. Walton G 27 29.5 7.3 1.6 1.9 0.8 0.1 1.7 6.3 3.6 -114 -5.2 -8.1 39.8 38.1 74.1 1.07 53.6 51.5
T. Lash T. Lash G 25 17.6 4.3 2.0 1.9 0.6 0.2 1.6 4.5 3.0 -13 -0.6 -1.1 33.0 13.2 73.7 1.84 41.6 35.3
K. Righeimer K. Righeimer G 15 9.8 2.7 1.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 2.0 2.9 -5 -0.6 -3.6 43.3 31.6 75.0 2.18 58.1 53.3
D. Turner D. Turner F 27 10.3 1.4 1.9 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.9 3.2 116 5.0 7.6 58.3 0 37.5 2.43 53.5 58.3
C. Keswick C. Keswick G 14 7.3 1.4 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.6 2.1 -0.3 -20 -1.2 -5.7 20.7 23.1 100.0 -2.32 33.5 31.0
A. Hodgens A. Hodgens G 15 5.1 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 1.6 0.0 -32 -2.1 -19.4 16.7 13.3 83.3 -0.86 28.2 20.8
A. López A. López G 19 5.1 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.9 0.5 6 0.4 7.7 33.3 20.0 83.3 1.56 46.0 38.9
C. Wang C. Wang F 13 4.3 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.1 -19 -1.9 -16.0 44.4 0.0 66.7 -1.51 51.5 44.4
R. Mutombo R. Mutombo F 8 2.4 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 -10 -1.7 -18.7 50.0 0 50.0 -1.94 52.1 50.0
Lauren Trumpy Lauren Trumpy F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
S. Moreno S. Moreno F 9 2.6 0.0 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.2 7 1.2 41.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.77 0.0 0.0
S. White S. White G 4 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 68 4.2 6.4 0.0 0.0 0 3.02 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG