Model Predictions
| Model | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | +3.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +3 (62-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Woodson | 38 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | -8.3 |
| E. Troxell | 38 | 4-14 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | -3.0 |
| B. Davis | 32 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | -4.7 |
| M. Mayes | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | -5.4 |
| R. Grohman | 19 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +11.7 |
| P. Hull | 19 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -1 | -5.2 |
| J. Stone | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.7 |
| N. Chavez | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.3 |
| E. Daugherty | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.2 |
| J. Coleman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1.2 |
| M. Daugherty | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.3 |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Sullivan | 37 | 11-21 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 8 | +3.7 |
| C. Harter | 36 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | -0.9 |
| T. Thomas | 32 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | +4.2 |
| X. Walton | 29 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +0.6 |
| C. Lau | 28 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | +9.2 |
| T. Lash | 23 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | +2.4 |
| C. Keswick | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6.6 |
| D. Turner | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +5.3 |
| A. Hodgens | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
* = starter