Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.8% | 4.2% | -17.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -27 (65-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wallace | 34 | 5-15 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| D. Jackson | 33 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 23 | - |
| C. Parchment | 32 | 8-13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 22 | - |
| J. Brown-Hagger | 29 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| A. Guyton | 27 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Webber | 24 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| L. Vasconcelos | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| N. Benson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| I. Noya Catoira | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Segura | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Zenere | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Walton | 36 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T. Thomas | 34 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 17 | - |
| C. Harter | 33 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C. Lau | 32 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | - |
| G. Sullivan | 25 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 2 | - |
| K. Righeimer | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. López | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Turner | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Wang | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Mutombo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Moreno | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter