Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.8% | 98.2% | +21.8 | ✓ (18.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +3 (74-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Harter | 40 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | +9.1 |
| C. Lau | 40 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +7.8 |
| G. Sullivan | 39 | 10-22 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 13 | +9.1 |
| X. Walton | 38 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | +8.4 |
| T. Thomas | 28 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2.0 |
| A. López | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +12.8 |
| T. Lash | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.6 |
| D. Turner | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.8 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wallace | 40 | 10-24 | 0-6 | 9-10 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 17 | -4.5 |
| D. Jackson | 34 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +10.4 |
| J. Brown-Hagger | 32 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -20.9 |
| A. Guyton | 29 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | -6.8 |
| M. Webber | 25 | 1-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | +6.1 |
| C. Parchment | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -12.0 |
| L. Vasconcelos | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | +11.2 |
| N. Benson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.5 |
* = starter