Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.1% | 28.9% | -5.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -5 (62-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Smith | 40 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| K. Smith | 35 | 6-20 | 2-11 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 2 | - |
| T. Daye | 35 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 12 | - |
| M. Layden | 29 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. McCarthy | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Puryear | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| H. Karsh | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Stahl | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. Gordon | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Sullivan | 40 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| C. Lau | 40 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 19 | - |
| C. Harter | 38 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| X. Walton | 25 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Thomas | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Righeimer | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Turner | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| T. Lash | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. White | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter