Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.3% | 60.7% | -1.5 | ✗ (37.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.5% | 19.5% | -7.8 | ✓ (31.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -39 (54-93). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syla Swords * | 34 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | +27.5 |
| Olivia Olson * | 31 | 7-17 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | +18.9 |
| Mila Holloway * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Brooke Quarles Daniels * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | +34.4 |
| Ashley Sofilkanich * | 12 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | +12.4 |
| Kendall Dudley | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +9.5 |
| McKenzie Mathurin | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +9.7 |
| Te'Yala Delfosse | 13 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +18.4 |
| Alyssa Crockett | 9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +4.1 |
| Macy Brown | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +8.6 |
| Ally VanTimmeren | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.7 |
| Jessica Fields | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
| Ciara Byars | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.9 |
| Aaiyanna Dunbar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KK Bransford * | 39 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | -29.6 |
| Hannah Hidalgo * | 38 | 4-21 | 0-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 12 | -6 | -9.2 |
| Cassandre Prosper * | 34 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | -28.4 |
| Vanessa de Jesus * | 33 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -23.1 |
| Gisela Sanchez * | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -18.8 |
| Iyana Moore | 23 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -12.2 |
| Malaya Cowles | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | +3.0 |
| Jordyn Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Kelly Ratigan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
* = starter