Holy Cross Crusaders
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1022 (#149) | Preseason prior 991 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1060, returning -28, transfers -42, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1027 (#137) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1027 (#138) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.4 (#163) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.3 (#163) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.504 (#155) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.518 (#151) | AdjNet +1.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.514 (#158) | AdjNet +1.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.496 (#162) | AdjO 57.3 | AdjD 57.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.496 (#162) | AdjO 57.3 | AdjD 57.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.525 (#153) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.525 (#153) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1038 (#134) | RD 167 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.529 (#146) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Boston College Eagles | W | 64 - 54 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Dartmouth Big Green | W | 49 - 46 |
| 2026-11-09 | vs | Harvard Crimson | L | 42 - 63 |
| 2026-11-12 | @ | Brown Bears | W | 77 - 64 |
| 2026-11-16 | vs | Bryant Bulldogs | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Janie Bachmann
|
G | 4 | 28.0 | 15.5 | 6.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 13.2 | 14.0 | 13 | 4 | 3.2 | 4.6 | 43.4 | 55.6 | 73.3 | 1.12 | 52.0 | 48.1 |
Kendall Eddy
|
G | 4 | 33.0 | 12.0 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 10.8 | 7.2 | -4 | 4 | -1.0 | -1.2 | 39.5 | 57.1 | 60.0 | -1.07 | 50.6 | 48.8 |
Colleen Phiri
|
G | 4 | 32.5 | 10.2 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 11.2 | 3.5 | -4 | 4 | -1.0 | -1.2 | 37.8 | 22.2 | 37.5 | -2.05 | 42.3 | 42.2 |
Brianna McDermott
|
G | 4 | 28.2 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.8 | 4.2 | 24 | 4 | 6.0 | 8.5 | 40.7 | 37.5 | 80.0 | 1.62 | 54.8 | 51.9 |
Hannah Griffin
|
G | 4 | 35.5 | 6.0 | 6.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.2 | 6.0 | 9 | 4 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 30.3 | 30.8 | 0 | -0.01 | 36.4 | 36.4 |
Abigail Casper
|
F | 4 | 17.2 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 10 | 4 | 2.5 | 5.7 | 25.0 | 27.3 | 0.0 | -0.24 | 33.5 | 34.4 |
Emma Lizotte
|
F | 4 | 17.2 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -5 | 4 | -1.2 | -2.9 | 31.2 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.77 | 29.6 | 31.2 |
Simone Lewis
|
F | 4 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 2.2 | -18 | 4 | -4.5 | -22.5 | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | -6.5 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
Camden Epstein
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Maddie Provost
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Megan Roche
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Mackenzie Teevan
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Gracynn Gough
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Stella Gougoufkas
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Holy Cross Crusaders players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Holy Cross Crusaders game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
1 player-league average(s) withheld while source season, phase, finality or game identity remains unresolved.
2026-2027 Shot Zones
238 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Janie BachmannKendall EddyColleen PhiriBrianna McDermottHannah GriffinAbigail Casper
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 24-42 | 57.1 | 48 | Janie Bachmann 46% (22 pts) | Colleen Phiri 17% (8 pts) | Colleen Phiri 28% (5 misses) | Janie Bachmann 28% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 19-69 | 27.5 | 38 | Colleen Phiri 32% (12 pts) | Emma Lizotte 16% (6 pts) | Janie Bachmann 32% (16 misses) | Colleen Phiri 18% (9 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 7-24 | 29.2 | 14 | Colleen Phiri 29% (4 pts) | Janie Bachmann 29% (4 pts) | Kendall Eddy 35% (6 misses) | Emma Lizotte 24% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-8 | 12.5 | 2 | Hannah Griffin 100% (2 pts) | - | Brianna McDermott 29% (2 misses) | Hannah Griffin 29% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 8-14 | 57.1 | 16 | Janie Bachmann 38% (6 pts) | Kendall Eddy 25% (4 pts) | Hannah Griffin 33% (2 misses) | Kendall Eddy 33% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 4-13 | 30.8 | 12 | Brianna McDermott 50% (6 pts) | Abigail Casper 25% (3 pts) | Abigail Casper 44% (4 misses) | Hannah Griffin 22% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-5 | 20.0 | 3 | Colleen Phiri 100% (3 pts) | - | Brianna McDermott 50% (2 misses) | Colleen Phiri 50% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 15-28 | 53.6 | 45 | Janie Bachmann 27% (12 pts) | Colleen Phiri 20% (9 pts) | Colleen Phiri 46% (6 misses) | Abigail Casper 23% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 1-6 | 16.7 | 3 | Kendall Eddy 100% (3 pts) | - | Colleen Phiri 40% (2 misses) | Brianna McDermott 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 9-29 | 31.0 | 27 | Kendall Eddy 44% (12 pts) | Hannah Griffin 33% (9 pts) | Brianna McDermott 25% (5 misses) | Hannah Griffin 25% (5 misses) |