Detroit Mercy
2026-2027 Team Stats (5 games)
71.0
PPG
68.8
Opp
+2.2
Margin
38.7%
FG%
31.7%
3P%
60.3%
FT%
40.2
RPG
10.6
APG
18.8
TO
79.4
Est. poss./game
62.8
Adj PPG
65.7
Adj Opp PPG
#258
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 800 (#286) | Preseason prior 781 (returning production + recruiting): last season 872, returning -41, transfers -49, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 876 (#272) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 878 (#270) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.8 (#213) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.7 (#214) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.056 (#310) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.240 (#286) | AdjNet -10.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.256 (#282) | AdjNet -9.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.343 (#258) | AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 65.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.345 (#258) | AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 65.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.314 (#257) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.314 (#257) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 855 (#276) | RD 180 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.232 (#281) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Michigan Dearborn Wolves | W | 94 - 30 |
| 2026-11-04 | @ | Illinois Fighting Illini | L | 50 - 84 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ | Valparaiso Beacons | W | 67 - 63 |
| 2026-11-10 | @ | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | L | 60 - 108 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | W | 84 - 59 |
| 2026-11-19 | vs | Toledo Rockets | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | vs | Sacred Heart Pioneers | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paula Lopez
|
G | 4 | 31.0 | 12.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 2.5 | 36 | 3 | 12.0 | 15.7 | 35.4 | 38.1 | 45.0 | 1.8 | 44.9 | 43.8 |
Makayla Jackson
|
G | 4 | 29.5 | 9.8 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 11.5 | 3.2 | 9 | 3 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 37.0 | 10.0 | 50.0 | -2.05 | 39.4 | 38.0 |
Ste. Utomi
|
G | 4 | 21.0 | 7.5 | 6.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 7.5 | 31 | 3 | 10.3 | 16.3 | 45.5 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 2.43 | 55.0 | 47.7 |
Maya Anderson
|
G | 4 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 5.0 | 3.8 | - | - | - | - | 40.0 | 50.0 | 80.0 | - | 57.4 | 50.0 |
Colleena Bryant
|
G | 4 | 13.2 | 6.5 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 5.8 | 4.0 | -4 | 3 | -1.3 | -7.6 | 43.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -1.38 | 50.7 | 50.0 |
Naima Diawara
|
F | 4 | 17.2 | 6.5 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 5 | 3 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 35.7 | 40.0 | 66.7 | -1.24 | 42.4 | 39.3 |
Marie Outlay
|
G | 4 | 17.8 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 6.2 | 14 | 3 | 4.7 | 10.9 | 41.7 | 66.7 | 71.4 | 1.6 | 56.4 | 50.0 |
Anna Lassan
|
F | 4 | 17.2 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 1 | 3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 29.4 | 20.0 | 40.0 | -2.5 | 35.0 | 32.4 |
Addisen Mastriano
|
C | 4 | 12.2 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 7 | 3 | 2.3 | 9.0 | 31.2 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.58 | 34.6 | 31.2 |
Alonna Divine
|
G | 4 | 9.5 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 21 | 3 | 7.0 | 34.0 | 28.6 | 37.5 | 0 | 0.85 | 39.3 | 39.3 |
Nina Rodriguez
|
G | 3 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 11 | 2 | 5.5 | 35.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.03 | 54.3 | 0.0 |
Stacy Utomi
|
G | 3 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 17 | 2 | 8.5 | 36.8 | 20.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.68 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
Marianna Jones
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Cameron McMaster
|
F | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Audrey Tchako Tchako
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
253 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Paula LopezMakayla JacksonColleena BryantMaya AndersonMarie OutlayAlonna DivineAddisen Mastriano
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 33-70 | 47.1 | 66 | Makayla Jackson 24% (16 pts) | Naima Diawara 21% (14 pts) | Paula Lopez 22% (8 misses) | Makayla Jackson 14% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 25-76 | 32.9 | 50 | Makayla Jackson 24% (12 pts) | Paula Lopez 16% (8 pts) | Makayla Jackson 24% (12 misses) | Naima Diawara 22% (11 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-12 | 25.0 | 6 | Addisen Mastriano 33% (2 pts) | Makayla Jackson 33% (2 pts) | Makayla Jackson 22% (2 misses) | Paula Lopez 22% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 3-11 | 27.3 | 6 | Colleena Bryant 33% (2 pts) | Maya Anderson 33% (2 pts) | Colleena Bryant 25% (2 misses) | Maya Anderson 25% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 2-9 | 22.2 | 4 | Colleena Bryant 50% (2 pts) | Makayla Jackson 50% (2 pts) | Colleena Bryant 43% (3 misses) | Addisen Mastriano 14% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-8 | 25.0 | 6 | Marie Outlay 50% (3 pts) | Ste. Utomi 50% (3 pts) | Addisen Mastriano 17% (1 misses) | Anna Lassan 17% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 4-10 | 40.0 | 12 | Alonna Divine 25% (3 pts) | Colleena Bryant 25% (3 pts) | Paula Lopez 50% (3 misses) | Alonna Divine 33% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 6-21 | 28.6 | 18 | Paula Lopez 33% (6 pts) | Alonna Divine 17% (3 pts) | Makayla Jackson 20% (3 misses) | Paula Lopez 20% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 6-11 | 54.5 | 18 | Maya Anderson 33% (6 pts) | Naima Diawara 33% (6 pts) | Paula Lopez 40% (2 misses) | Alonna Divine 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 8-25 | 32.0 | 24 | Paula Lopez 75% (18 pts) | Alonna Divine 12% (3 pts) | Makayla Jackson 29% (5 misses) | Paula Lopez 24% (4 misses) |