Duke
2027 Team Stats (1 games)
76.0
PPG
60.0
Opp
+16.0
Margin
45.3%
FG%
30.4%
3P%
78.6%
FT%
44.0
RPG
17.0
APG
17.0
TO
73.2
Est. poss./game
58.2
Adj PPG
58.8
Adj Opp PPG
#130
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1446 (#21) | Preseason prior 1439 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1279, returning +194, transfers -34, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1029 (#41) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1029 (#31) | HCA +220 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.8 (#127) | HCA +17.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.938 (#73) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.938 (#66) | NetEff +21.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.711 (#73) | AdjNet +7.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.712 (#73) | AdjNet +7.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.485 (#130) | AdjO 58.2 | AdjD 58.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.485 (#131) | AdjO 58.2 | AdjD 58.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.566 (#94) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.566 (#94) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1096 (#66) | RD 218 | GP 1 |
2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | vs | Green Bay Phoenix | W | 76 - 60 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ | North Texas Mean Green | - | Preview |
2027 Roster
Minutes by Position
Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Riley Nelson
|
G | 1 | 28.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | - | 40.0 | 16.7 | 100.0 | - | 59.3 | 45.0 |
Arianna Roberson
|
C | 1 | 23.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | - | 60.0 | 66.7 | 100.0 | - | 71.8 | 70.0 |
Aaliyah Crump
|
G | 1 | 34.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | - | 38.5 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 42.3 | 42.3 |
Delaney Thomas
|
F | 1 | 26.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 63.5 | 57.1 |
Autumn Fleary
|
G | 1 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | - | 42.9 | 66.7 | 25.0 | - | 51.4 | 57.1 |
Emilee Skinner
|
G | 1 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 44.4 | 44.4 |
Jordan Wood
|
F | 1 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 56.3 | 50.0 |
Bella Flemings
|
G | 1 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Jadyn Donovan
|
G | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Toby Fournier
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Sanai Green
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Emma Koabel
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Olivia Martin
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Taylor Sofilkanich
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Duke players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Duke game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
1 player-league average(s) withheld while source season, phase, finality or game identity remains unresolved.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azurá Stevens | 2014-16 | WNBA | Chicago Sky | 32 | 24.5 | 10.6 | 6.4 | 2.1 | 09-17 6 pts, 3 reb, 0 ast | no games |
| Elizabeth Williams | 2013-15 | WNBA | Chicago Sky | 44 | 17.2 | 5.2 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 09-24 9 pts, 2 reb, 2 ast | no games |
| Lexie Brown | 2016-18 | WNBA | Seattle Storm | 10 | 14.9 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 06-01 0 pts, 1 reb, 1 ast | no games |
| Ashlon Jackson | 2022-26 | WNBA | Connecticut Sun | 19 | 13.6 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 09-24 18 pts, 1 reb, 2 ast | no games |
| Taina Mair | 2023-26 | WNBA | Seattle Storm | 10 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 09-19 0 pts, 0 reb, 1 ast | no games |
| Chelsea Gray | 2013-14 | WNBA | Las Vegas Aces | - | - | - | - | - | 10-09 17 pts, 5 reb, 5 ast Playoffs | 2 GP, 18.0 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 5.5 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Chelsea Gray | WNBA Playoffs | Las Vegas Aces | vs Golden State Valkyries | 43 | 17 | 5 | 5 | Box |
| 2026-10-07 | Chelsea Gray | WNBA Playoffs | Las Vegas Aces | @ Golden State Valkyries | 39 | 19 | 3 | 6 | Box |
| 2026-10-04 | Chelsea Gray | WNBA Playoffs | Las Vegas Aces | @ Golden State Valkyries | 36 | 16 | 4 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-09-24 | Elizabeth Williams | WNBA | Chicago Sky | @ Washington Mystics | 28 | 9 | 2 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-09-24 | Ashlon Jackson | WNBA | Connecticut Sun | vs Toronto Tempo | 26 | 18 | 1 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-09-22 | Elizabeth Williams | WNBA | Chicago Sky | vs Toronto Tempo | 30 | 6 | 11 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-09-22 | Ashlon Jackson | WNBA | Connecticut Sun | @ Washington Mystics | 15 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-09-20 | Ashlon Jackson | WNBA | Connecticut Sun | vs Minnesota Lynx | 17 | 6 | 2 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-09-19 | Taina Mair | WNBA | Seattle Storm | @ Golden State Valkyries | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-09-19 | Elizabeth Williams | WNBA | Chicago Sky | @ Atlanta Dream | 23 | 7 | 4 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-09-17 | Azurá Stevens | WNBA | Chicago Sky | vs Washington Mystics | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-08-30 | Taina Mair | WNBA | Seattle Storm | vs Los Angeles Sparks | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-08-29 | Azurá Stevens | WNBA | Chicago Sky | @ New York Liberty | 20 | 6 | 1 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-08-26 | Taina Mair | WNBA | Seattle Storm | vs Toronto Tempo | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-08-25 | Azurá Stevens | WNBA | Chicago Sky | @ Connecticut Sun | 25 | 18 | 5 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-06-01 | Lexie Brown | WNBA | Seattle Storm | @ Dallas Wings | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-05-30 | Lexie Brown | WNBA | Seattle Storm | @ Toronto Tempo | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-05-27 | Lexie Brown | WNBA | Seattle Storm | vs Washington Mystics | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-05-01 | E. Balogun | WNBA Preseason | Toronto Tempo | @ Minnesota Lynx | 15 | 12 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-04-29 | E. Balogun | WNBA Preseason | Toronto Tempo | vs Connecticut Sun | 15 | 6 | 4 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-04-27 | R. Richardson | WNBA Preseason | Minnesota Lynx | vs NIGERIA | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-04-25 | R. Richardson | WNBA Preseason | Minnesota Lynx | @ Washington Mystics | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
64 located field-goal attempts in 1 game (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Arianna RobersonAaliyah CrumpRiley NelsonAutumn FlearyDelaney ThomasEmilee Skinner
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 14-21 | 66.7 | 28 | Arianna Roberson 29% (8 pts) | Riley Nelson 21% (6 pts) | Delaney Thomas 29% (2 misses) | Emilee Skinner 29% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 4-11 | 36.4 | 8 | Aaliyah Crump 50% (4 pts) | Delaney Thomas 50% (4 pts) | Aaliyah Crump 43% (3 misses) | Arianna Roberson 14% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-2 | 100.0 | 4 | Emilee Skinner 100% (4 pts) | - | - | - |
| Mid-range center | 1-1 | 100.0 | 2 | Delaney Thomas 100% (2 pts) | - | - | - |
| Mid-range right | 1-6 | 16.7 | 2 | Aaliyah Crump 100% (2 pts) | - | Arianna Roberson 40% (2 misses) | Autumn Fleary 40% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 1-2 | 50.0 | 3 | Arianna Roberson 100% (3 pts) | - | Riley Nelson 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Right corner 3 | 1-2 | 50.0 | 3 | Arianna Roberson 100% (3 pts) | - | Riley Nelson 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Above-break 3 left | 2-9 | 22.2 | 6 | Aaliyah Crump 50% (3 pts) | Riley Nelson 50% (3 pts) | Aaliyah Crump 29% (2 misses) | Riley Nelson 29% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Aaliyah Crump 50% (1 misses) | Riley Nelson 50% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 3-8 | 37.5 | 9 | Autumn Fleary 67% (6 pts) | Bella Flemings 33% (3 pts) | Aaliyah Crump 20% (1 misses) | Arianna Roberson 20% (1 misses) |