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Duke Blue Devils

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Duke Blue Devils
Program History

2026 Team Stats (36 games)

74.1
PPG
59.7
Opp
+14.4
Margin
43.8%
FG%
32.6%
3P%
69.2%
FT%
40.6
RPG
17.3
APG
14.8
TO
86.0
Pace
79.8
AdjO
48.5
AdjD
#10
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1374 (#10) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1422 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 1217 (#6) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +32.3 (#9) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +46.2 (#6) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.905 (#27) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +21.1 More → 0.938 (#27) NetEff +21.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +46.4 More → 0.996 (#9) AdjNet +46.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +48.0 More → 0.996 (#9) AdjNet +48.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 48.5 More → 0.945 (#10) AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 48.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 51.4 More → 0.898 (#6) AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 51.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.988 (#7) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.983 (#6) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 36 More → 1400 (#8) RD 95 | GP 36

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Baylor Bears L 52 - 58
2025-11-09 vs Holy Cross Crusaders W 91 - 48
2025-11-12 vs Norfolk State Spartans W 83 - 32
2025-11-14 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 49 - 57
2025-11-16 @ Liberty Flames W 71 - 57
2025-11-20 @ South Florida Bulls L 72 - 85
2025-11-26 vs South Carolina Gamecocks L 66 - 83
2025-11-27 @ UCLA Bruins L 59 - 89
2025-12-04 vs LSU Tigers L 77 - 93
2025-12-07 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 70 - 54
2025-12-18 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits W 97 - 54
2025-12-20 @ Belmont Bruins W 76 - 46
2025-12-28 @ Syracuse Orange W 71 - 51
2026-01-01 vs Boston College Eagles W 100 - 49
2026-01-04 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 82 - 68
2026-01-08 @ California Golden Bears W 78 - 74
2026-01-11 @ Stanford Cardinal W 67 - 60
2026-01-15 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 65 - 58
2026-01-18 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 93 - 46
2026-01-25 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 95 - 41
2026-01-29 @ Miami Hurricanes W 74 - 58
2026-02-01 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 80 - 44
2026-02-05 @ Louisville Cardinals W 59 - 58
2026-02-08 vs SMU Mustangs W 95 - 36
2026-02-15 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 72 - 68
2026-02-19 vs NC State Wolfpack W 83 - 65
2026-02-22 @ Clemson Tigers L 51 - 53
2026-02-26 vs Florida State Seminoles W 80 - 52
2026-03-01 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 69 - 74
2026-03-06 vs Clemson Tigers W 60 - 46
2026-03-07 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 65 - 63
2026-03-08 vs Louisville Cardinals W 70 - 65
2026-03-20 vs Charleston Cougars W 81 - 64
2026-03-22 vs Baylor Bears W 69 - 46
2026-03-27 @ LSU Tigers W 87 - 85
2026-03-29 @ UCLA Bruins L 58 - 70

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Fournier T. Fournier F 36 29.1 17.3 7.9 1.2 0.9 2.2 2.2 12.8 14.5 114 5.0 7.3 52.5 33.3 58.1 3.27 56.4 54.4
T. Mair T. Mair G 36 33.9 11.6 5.9 5.6 2.5 0.1 2.7 10.4 12.6 90 3.9 4.9 41.1 34.1 87.0 2.1 51.1 46.8
A. Jackson A. Jackson G 36 33.9 11.2 3.3 4.6 1.4 0.4 2.2 10.8 8.0 278 13.2 18.1 34.3 30.7 81.2 3.4 47.7 43.7
D. Thomas D. Thomas F 36 26.8 11.0 6.2 0.9 1.8 0.5 1.4 7.2 11.8 83 3.6 5.8 60.5 0.0 75.0 2.99 64.4 60.5
R. Nelson R. Nelson G 36 28.5 9.4 3.3 2.5 0.8 0.5 2.0 8.8 5.7 50 2.3 5.8 40.0 33.9 73.3 -0.21 49.5 46.7
A. Roberson A. Roberson C 33 17.9 8.0 5.7 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.9 7.7 7.0 -1 -0.1 -0.1 41.6 30.8 59.7 -1.81 46.9 44.7
J. Wood J. Wood F 35 19.7 4.8 3.1 1.0 0.4 1.2 1.1 4.5 4.8 74 3.4 7.1 37.3 37.2 75.0 1.63 49.3 46.5
E. Skinner E. Skinner G 3 16.0 4.3 4.7 1.7 1.0 0.3 4.3 6.7 1.0 -25 -8.3 -15.8 25.0 0.0 50.0 -1.23 28.7 25.0
J. Donovan J. Donovan G 11 21.3 1.6 3.8 1.6 1.3 0.8 1.5 2.3 5.5 -40 -3.6 -5.8 32.0 0 33.3 -1.09 32.6 32.0
A. Wikstrom A. Wikstrom G 18 9.6 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.8 -30 -2.3 -9.0 42.9 27.3 40.0 -3.71 49.6 50.0
E. Koabel E. Koabel G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
H. Johnson H. Johnson G 3 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 -11 -3.7 -134.7 0.0 0.0 0 -1.53 0.0 0.0
O. Martin O. Martin G 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -4 -4.0 -120.0 0 0 0 -0.99 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG