Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Texas ... | Spread | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
|
79.8% (#20) | 20.2% (#126) | Duke Bl... -17.8 | 75-57 |
| Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
61.4% (#16) | 38.6% (#129) | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
40.7% (#16) | 59.3% (#132) | - | - |
| Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
|
73.8% (#17) | 26.2% (#128) | Duke Bl... -11.4 | - |
| Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
72.4% (#17) | 27.6% (#129) | Duke Bl... -10.6 | - |
| Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
|
96.7% (#35) | 3.3% (#172) | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
85.9% (#29) | 14.1% (#145) | - | - |
| Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
|
86.2% (#30) | 13.8% (#144) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
|
58.1% (#21) | 41.9% (#124) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
47.5% (#25) | 52.5% (#125) | - | - |
| Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
82.4% (#20) | 17.6% (#130) | - | - |
| Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
81.1% (#20) | 18.9% (#130) | - | - |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
74.7% (#18) | 25.3% (#134) | - | - |
| Adjusted Context Blend | Prior-only ranking with no forecast | |||
2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 5.2 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.4-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 131 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | Duke Blue Devils | North Texas ... |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | 2 |
| PPG | 76.0 | 79.0 |
| FG% | 45.3% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 40.0% |
| FT% | 78.6% | 67.7% |
| RPG | 44.0 | 49.0 |
| APG | 17.0 | 14.0 |
| SPG | 10.0 | 7.5 |
| BPG | 8.0 | 2.0 |
| TOPG | 17.0 | 14.0 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | Duke Blue Devils | North Texas ... |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 108.3 | 97.9 |
| Adj. Def Eff | 91.7 | 102.1 |
| Adj. Net Eff | 16.6 | -4.2 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
Duke Blue Devils Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaliyah Crump | 11.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 34.0 |
| Riley Nelson | 15.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 |
| Delaney Thomas | 10.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 |
| Arianna Roberson | 15.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 23.0 |
| Emilee Skinner | 8.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 22.0 |
North Texas Mean Green Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherie Spencer | 16.5 | 9.0 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 26.5 |
| Chania Price | 7.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 |
| KaMyra Barber | 15.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 23.5 |
| Otaifo Esenabhalu | 5.5 | 13.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 23.0 |
| Kalysta Martin | 12.5 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 20.5 |