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Texas Tech

2026-2027: 3-0 · Big 12

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023
Also known as: Texas Tech Lady Raiders
Program History

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

71.7
PPG
45.3
Opp
+26.3
Margin
45.0%
FG%
31.9%
3P%
64.6%
FT%
42.0
RPG
10.7
APG
17.0
TO
68.5
Est. poss./game
63.1
Adj PPG
51.9
Adj Opp PPG
#35
Adj Margin Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1429 (roster): base (last-season Elo, regressed) 1185, returning -60, transfers +304 More โ†’ 1444 (#21) Preseason prior 1429 (roster): base (last-season Elo, regressed) 1185, returning -60, transfers +304
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +159 elo More โ†’ 1282 (#21) HCA +159 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +158 elo More โ†’ 1277 (#21) HCA +158 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.1 More โ†’ +18.9 (#43) HCA +2.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.1 More โ†’ +18.8 (#44) HCA +2.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.982 (#28) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +24.7 More โ†’ 0.921 (#31) AdjNet +24.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +29.7 More โ†’ 0.945 (#23) AdjNet +29.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.1 | AdjD 51.9 More โ†’ 0.824 (#35) AdjO 63.1 | AdjD 51.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 52.1 More โ†’ 0.822 (#35) AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 52.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.888 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.888 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 180 | GP 3 More โ†’ 1313 (#21) RD 180 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.930 (#25) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-05 vs Charlotte 49ers W 64 - 37
2026-11-09 vs Lamar Cardinals W 78 - 28
2026-11-13 vs Auburn Tigers W 73 - 71
2026-11-15 vs SE Louisiana Lady Lions - Preview
2026-11-19 @ North Carolina Tar Heels - Preview
2026-11-21 vs Purdue Boilermakers - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Nums/G PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Destinee Hooks Destinee Hooks G 3 29.0 12.7 5.7 1.0 1.3 0.0 3.0 9.3 8.3 59 3 19.7 27.1 53.6 45.5 30.0 2.76 58.6 62.5
Jalynn Bristow Jalynn Bristow G 3 35.3 12.0 9.0 3.0 2.3 1.0 1.7 7.7 18.0 69 3 23.0 26.0 34.8 40.0 80.0 4.34 56.6 43.5
Stephanie Okechukwu Stephanie Okechukwu C 3 19.3 11.0 6.3 0.0 0.0 2.3 4.0 8.0 7.7 52 3 17.3 36.1 54.2 - 50.0 4.28 54.7 54.2
Ambrosia Cole Ambrosia Cole G 3 34.3 11.0 4.3 3.3 2.0 0.0 2.7 6.3 11.7 68 3 22.7 26.3 47.4 0.0 75.0 3.42 59.4 47.4
Rhema Collins Rhema Collins G 1 17.0 9.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 8.0 15 1 15.0 34.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 2.27 62.5 70.0
Martina Anyango Martina Anyango F 3 21.3 7.7 3.3 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.7 6.0 4.3 28 3 9.3 17.8 44.4 20.0 75.0 -0.79 53.4 47.2
Jalayah Ingram Jalayah Ingram G 3 21.7 6.7 4.3 0.7 1.3 1.7 0.7 3.3 10.7 29 3 9.7 18.0 50.0 50.0 75.0 0.8 65.4 55.0
Tahys Da Silva Tahys Da Silva G 3 21.7 4.3 2.3 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.7 5.7 3.3 47 3 15.7 29.0 29.4 16.7 50.0 2.35 36.4 35.3
Moriyah Douglass Moriyah Douglass F 2 6.5 3.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 2.0 2.5 10 2 5.0 31.8 25.0 50.0 75.0 -0.23 52.1 37.5
Milania Jordan Milania Jordan G 2 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 2 2 1.0 26.1 100.0 - - -0.5 100.0 100.0
Natalia Jordan Natalia Jordan G 3 6.7 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 16 3 5.3 32.4 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.46 26.6 0.0
Jayda Kearney Jayda Kearney C 0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Mya Petticord Mya Petticord G 0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Kiki Smith Kiki Smith G 0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Gianna Jordan Gianna Jordan G 0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Nums/G = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA per game, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

151 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Hooks22% Okechukwu50% Cole25% Silva100% Cole50% Collins100% Hooks67% Hooks33% Hooks20%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Bristow30% Okechukwu40% Bristow50% Cole50% Cole22% Silva60% Jordan50% Hooks33% Bristow25% Hooks33%
Misses: who misses most here

Destinee HooksStephanie OkechukwuJalynn BristowAmbrosia ColeTahys Da SilvaRhema CollinsNatalia Jordan

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 40-63 63.5 80 Destinee Hooks 22% (18 pts) Stephanie Okechukwu 22% (18 pts) Jalynn Bristow 30% (7 misses) Stephanie Okechukwu 17% (4 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 6-21 28.6 12 Stephanie Okechukwu 50% (6 pts) Ambrosia Cole 17% (2 pts) Stephanie Okechukwu 40% (6 misses) Ambrosia Cole 20% (3 misses)
Mid-range left 4-6 66.7 8 Ambrosia Cole 25% (2 pts) Martina Anyango 25% (2 pts) Jalynn Bristow 50% (1 misses) Tahys Da Silva 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 1-3 33.3 2 Tahys Da Silva 100% (2 pts) - Ambrosia Cole 50% (1 misses) Martina Anyango 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 2-11 18.2 4 Ambrosia Cole 50% (2 pts) Jalynn Bristow 50% (2 pts) Ambrosia Cole 22% (2 misses) Martina Anyango 22% (2 misses)
Left corner 3 1-6 16.7 3 Rhema Collins 100% (3 pts) - Tahys Da Silva 60% (3 misses) Jalynn Bristow 40% (2 misses)
Right corner 3 0-4 0.0 0 - - Natalia Jordan 50% (2 misses) Jalayah Ingram 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 3-12 25.0 9 Destinee Hooks 67% (6 pts) Jalynn Bristow 33% (3 pts) Destinee Hooks 33% (3 misses) Tahys Da Silva 33% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 6-14 42.9 18 Destinee Hooks 33% (6 pts) Jalynn Bristow 33% (6 pts) Jalynn Bristow 25% (2 misses) Martina Anyango 25% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 5-11 45.5 15 Destinee Hooks 20% (3 pts) Jalayah Ingram 20% (3 pts) Destinee Hooks 33% (2 misses) Tahys Da Silva 33% (2 misses)