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Northwestern

Also known as: Northwestern Wildcats, Northwestern
Program History

2026 Team Stats (34 games)

73.1
PPG
72.0
Opp
+1.2
Margin
46.1%
FG%
33.0%
3P%
75.1%
FT%
30.5
RPG
17.2
APG
8.5
TO
64.6
Est. poss./game
76.4
Adj PPG
66.2
Adj Opp PPG
#59
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1107 (#91) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1057 (#120) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More โ†’ 987 (#197) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More โ†’ +11.5 (#59) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ +10.9 (#62) HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.546 (#147) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.8 More โ†’ 0.546 (#147) NetEff +1.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.0 More โ†’ 0.850 (#58) AdjNet +15.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +15.2 More โ†’ 0.853 (#58) AdjNet +15.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 66.2 More โ†’ 0.716 (#59) AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 66.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 68.3 More โ†’ 0.583 (#90) AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 68.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.696 (#72) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.671 (#79) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 130 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1079 (#107) RD 130 | GP 34

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Mercyhurst Lakers W 70 - 47
2025-11-07 vs Boston University Terriers W 76 - 52
2025-11-10 vs Cleveland State Vikings W 110 - 63
2025-11-14 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 81 - 79
2025-11-21 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 78 - 83
2025-11-23 vs South Carolina Gamecocks W 79 - 77
2025-11-27 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys L 81 - 86
2025-12-03 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 73 - 85
2025-12-06 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 82 - 86
2025-12-13 vs Jackson State Tigers W 93 - 53
2025-12-16 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 86 - 70
2025-12-20 @ Butler Bulldogs L 58 - 61
2025-12-30 vs Howard Bison W 80 - 60
2026-01-03 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers L 78 - 84
2026-01-08 @ Michigan State Spartans L 66 - 76
2026-01-11 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 75 - 77
2026-01-14 vs Illinois Fighting Illini L 68 - 79
2026-01-17 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers L 58 - 77
2026-01-21 @ USC Trojans W 74 - 68
2026-01-24 @ UCLA Bruins L 64 - 71
2026-01-29 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 94 - 73
2026-01-31 vs Washington Huskies L 62 - 76
2026-02-04 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 44 - 84
2026-02-08 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 70 - 76
2026-02-11 vs Michigan Wolverines L 75 - 87
2026-02-14 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 49 - 68
2026-02-18 vs Maryland Terrapins W 78 - 74
2026-02-24 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 72 - 68
2026-02-28 vs Oregon Ducks W 63 - 62
2026-03-04 vs Purdue Boilermakers L 66 - 70
2026-03-07 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 66 - 67
2026-03-10 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 76 - 66
2026-03-11 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 74 - 61
2026-03-12 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 68 - 81

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nick Martinelli Nick Martinelli - 33 35.6 23.0 6.2 2.0 0.8 0.4 1.4 15.9 15.0 2 28 0.1 0.1 51.0 41.7 80.9 2.82 60.9 55.2
Arrinten Page Arrinten Page F 29 22.8 10.2 4.5 1.8 0.9 1.2 1.2 7.1 10.2 - - - - 54.6 25.0 65.6 - 60.0 57.2
Jayden Reid Jayden Reid G 34 25.8 10.1 1.4 5.0 1.0 0.1 1.9 8.6 7.2 - - - - 39.0 31.7 82.0 - 50.9 44.5
Tre Singleton Tre Singleton - 34 25.0 7.6 4.8 1.5 0.6 0.6 1.0 5.7 8.3 - - - - 47.7 16.7 73.8 - 55.4 50.0
Angelo Ciaravino Angelo Ciaravino - 33 22.0 6.3 3.9 1.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 5.0 7.0 31 28 1.1 2.1 51.2 25.6 58.3 1.05 55.9 54.6
Jake West Jake West - 33 21.8 5.3 0.8 2.8 0.6 0.2 1.0 4.7 4.1 - - - - 40.3 36.4 77.4 - 52.5 49.4
Max Green Max Green - 24 14.2 4.2 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.3 4.2 3.0 - - - - 37.0 33.8 60.0 - 48.9 48.5
Jordan Clayton Jordan Clayton - 31 18.3 3.9 1.7 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.5 3.1 4.0 84 26 3.2 7.0 41.2 41.0 53.3 4.21 57.9 57.7
K.J. Windham K.J. Windham - 14 12.4 3.5 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.2 3.3 3.0 37 11 3.4 11.3 32.6 33.3 100.0 2.15 49.9 45.7
Justin Mullins Justin Mullins - 24 13.5 3.2 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.6 2.6 3.2 7 19 0.4 1.2 45.2 32.3 50.0 -0.16 53.7 53.2
Tyler Kropp Tyler Kropp - 31 11.9 3.1 2.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 2.5 3.3 - - - - 44.2 27.3 92.3 - 53.7 46.1
Gus Hurlburt Gus Hurlburt - 2 2.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 - - - - 100.0 0 100.0 -0.53 106.4 100.0
Phoenix Gill Phoenix Gill - 11 3.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 - - - - 12.5 0.0 75.0 - 25.6 12.5
Cade Bennerman Cade Bennerman F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Blake Smith Blake Smith G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Former Northwestern players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2025-2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Northwestern game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
Pat Spencer 2019-20 NBA Phoenix Suns 1 7.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 10-21 3 pts, 3 reb, 1 ast 1 GP, 3.0 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 1.0 APG
Brooks Barnhizer 2021-25 NBA Oklahoma City Thunder + G League 11 GP 5 5.1 1.6 0.8 0.2 10-31 5 pts, 2 reb, 0 ast 5 GP, 1.6 PPG, 0.8 RPG, 0.2 APG
Pete Nance 2018-22 G League Wisconsin Herd 6 35.9 21.0 8.0 3.5 01-11 42 pts, 5 reb, 2 ast no games
Boo Buie III 2019-24 G League Mexico City Capitanes 28 33.1 16.6 4.3 4.5 03-14 16 pts, 5 reb, 4 ast no games
Miller Kopp 2018-21 G League Cleveland Charge 17 26.2 11.2 2.1 1.6 04-01 10 pts, 2 reb, 1 ast Playoffs no games

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-10-31 Brooks Barnhizer NBA Oklahoma City Thunder @ Houston Rockets 6 5 2 0 Box
2026-10-28 Brooks Barnhizer NBA Oklahoma City Thunder @ Dallas Mavericks 14 3 2 0 Box
2026-10-26 Brooks Barnhizer NBA Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns 3 0 0 0 Box
2026-10-21 Pat Spencer NBA Phoenix Suns @ Portland Trail Blazers 7 3 3 1 Box
2026-10-16 Pat Spencer NBA Preseason Phoenix Suns vs Utah Jazz 9 8 1 0 Box
2026-10-14 Pete Nance NBA Preseason Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls 26 4 3 2 Box
2026-10-14 Pat Spencer NBA Preseason Phoenix Suns @ San Antonio Spurs 20 9 1 4 Box
2026-10-11 Pete Nance NBA Preseason Milwaukee Bucks @ Charlotte Hornets 7 3 4 1 Box
2026-10-07 Pete Nance NBA Preseason Milwaukee Bucks @ Oklahoma City Thunder 13 6 5 0 Box
2026-04-01 Miller Kopp G League Playoffs Cleveland Charge vs Capital City Go-Go 24 10 2 1 Box
2026-03-28 Miller Kopp G League Cleveland Charge vs Long Island Nets 30 8 5 1 Box
2026-03-26 Miller Kopp G League Cleveland Charge @ Noblesville Boom 33 16 4 1 Box
2026-03-14 Boo Buie III G League Mexico City Capitanes vs Memphis Hustle 32 16 5 4 Box
2026-03-10 Boo Buie III G League Mexico City Capitanes @ Grand Rapids Gold 37 8 4 3 Box
2026-03-07 Boo Buie III G League Mexico City Capitanes @ Wisconsin Herd 32 14 7 4 Box

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1930 located field-goal attempts in 34 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Martinelli24% Martinelli46% Martinelli44% Reid35% Martinelli45% Clayton27% Clayton25% Reid24% Martinelli22% Martinelli36%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Martinelli25% Martinelli38% Martinelli27% Martinelli36% Martinelli34% Ciaravino16% Ciaravino16% Green18% Reid19% Martinelli26%
Misses: who misses most here

Nick MartinelliJayden ReidAngelo CiaravinoJordan ClaytonMax Green

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 357-526 67.9 714 Nick Martinelli 24% (172 pts) Arrinten Page 18% (130 pts) Nick Martinelli 25% (43 misses) Jayden Reid 18% (30 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 183-405 45.2 366 Nick Martinelli 46% (168 pts) Jayden Reid 17% (62 pts) Nick Martinelli 38% (84 misses) Jayden Reid 15% (34 misses)
Mid-range left 39-101 38.6 78 Nick Martinelli 44% (34 pts) Jayden Reid 15% (12 pts) Nick Martinelli 27% (17 misses) Jayden Reid 16% (10 misses)
Mid-range center 31-84 36.9 62 Jayden Reid 35% (22 pts) Nick Martinelli 23% (14 pts) Nick Martinelli 36% (19 misses) Jayden Reid 32% (17 misses)
Mid-range right 64-158 40.5 128 Nick Martinelli 45% (58 pts) Arrinten Page 20% (26 pts) Nick Martinelli 34% (32 misses) Jayden Reid 19% (18 misses)
Left corner 3 33-88 37.5 99 Jordan Clayton 27% (27 pts) Angelo Ciaravino 15% (15 pts) Angelo Ciaravino 16% (9 misses) Jordan Clayton 16% (9 misses)
Right corner 3 24-62 38.7 72 Jordan Clayton 25% (18 pts) Nick Martinelli 21% (15 pts) Angelo Ciaravino 16% (6 misses) Jordan Clayton 16% (6 misses)
Above-break 3 left 50-175 28.6 150 Jayden Reid 24% (36 pts) Jordan Clayton 16% (24 pts) Max Green 18% (22 misses) Jayden Reid 14% (17 misses)
Above-break 3 center 40-130 30.8 120 Nick Martinelli 22% (27 pts) Jake West 20% (24 pts) Jayden Reid 19% (17 misses) Nick Martinelli 19% (17 misses)
Above-break 3 right 69-201 34.3 207 Nick Martinelli 36% (75 pts) Jake West 13% (27 pts) Nick Martinelli 26% (34 misses) Jayden Reid 22% (29 misses)