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Maryland Terrapins 74
@
Northwestern Wildcats 78
2026-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Maryland Terrapins Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 27.0% 73.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% - ✓
Margin 13.8% 86.2% +10.1 ✓ (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 27.4% 72.6% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 14.2% 85.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 13.9% 86.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 27.1% 72.9% - ✓

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +4 (78-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Washington 39 3-7 0-0 5-6 14 4 2 2 3 11 23 -
A. Mills 33 12-17 6-9 9-9 4 1 0 1 3 39 25 -
E. Saunders 30 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 5 0 0 1 2 8 -
D. Coit 26 3-14 0-7 1-2 1 3 0 0 0 7 -3 -
C. Metcalf 26 1-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 1 0 2 8 -
D. Adams 25 2-5 0-2 3-4 0 2 1 0 4 7 1 -
I. Watts 16 2-4 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 6 4 -
G. Del Pino 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Alston 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Martinelli 39 9-17 3-6 8-9 2 3 1 0 1 29 17 -
J. West 33 2-4 2-3 1-2 0 7 3 0 0 7 13 -
A. Ciaravino 31 5-10 1-1 5-10 5 3 0 2 0 16 16 -
J. Clayton 25 6-8 6-7 2-4 4 1 3 1 0 20 21 -
J. Reid 22 1-7 0-4 0-0 0 4 4 0 5 2 -2 -
T. Singleton 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
T. Kropp 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Page 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 0 -

* = starter