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2026-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 7.7% 92.3% -
Bradley-Terry 17.4% 82.6% -
Margin 6.6% 93.4% +14.6 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 36.7% 63.3% -
Efficiency 83.4% 16.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.1% 94.9% -
Log Adjusted 4.9% 95.1% -
Points Off/Def 20.2% 79.8% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +13 (81-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Martinelli 39 10-16 1-1 4-5 4 3 1 0 1 25 16 -
J. Reid 36 8-12 3-4 0-0 2 9 1 1 3 19 17 -
A. Ciaravino 29 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 1 0 4 6 -
J. West 29 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
J. Clayton 23 4-7 2-5 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 10 10 -
T. Kropp 19 2-5 0-0 2-3 3 2 0 0 0 6 6 -
T. Singleton 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 2 5 -
J. Mullins 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
P. Gill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith 36 2-8 1-4 0-0 2 16 2 1 1 5 17 -
T. Kaufman-Renn 30 8-9 0-0 3-6 6 2 0 0 0 19 18 -
O. Cluff 30 7-10 0-0 5-5 10 2 1 1 2 19 21 -
F. Loyer 28 5-12 2-7 2-2 1 3 1 0 1 14 6 -
C.J. Cox 28 2-8 1-4 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
G. Harris 15 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
O. Mayer 13 3-6 2-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 8 3 -
D. Jacobsen 10 1-4 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
J. Benter 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter