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2026-10-14

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 36.6% 63.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.9% 66.1% - โœ“
Margin 4.2% 95.8% +17.2 โœ“ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 23.6% 76.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.5% 98.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 10.2% 89.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.0% 90.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 19.2% 80.8% - โœ“

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +20 (123-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamaree Bouyea * 27 7-11 1-2 0-1 4 8 1 0 2 15 15 -
Ryan Dunn * 23 6-6 0-0 3-3 2 0 1 2 1 15 13 -
Duop Reath * 23 3-10 2-8 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 8 4 -
Haywood Highsmith * 20 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 7 6 -
Luke Kennard * 13 2-8 0-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 4 0 -
Khaman Maluach * 12 1-4 0-2 1-2 4 1 0 1 0 3 5 -
Pat Spencer 20 3-6 1-2 2-2 1 4 1 0 2 9 7 -
Rasheer Fleming 17 4-10 0-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 8 0 -
Koa Peat 16 5-8 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 10 6 -
Koby Brea 16 2-3 2-3 1-1 1 3 1 0 2 7 7 -
Kennedy Chandler 15 3-6 0-0 4-4 0 2 1 2 1 10 8 -
Jordan Goodwin 13 0-6 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
Phillip Wheeler 12 1-3 0-2 1-2 1 1 2 0 0 3 4 -
CJ Huntley 11 2-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 1 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Vassell * 25 5-10 1-6 1-1 6 2 3 1 0 12 14 -
Stephon Castle * 23 2-5 0-2 14-15 4 3 0 0 2 18 18 -
Victor Wembanyama * 23 9-14 0-3 1-1 5 3 2 4 3 19 16 -
Dylan Harper * 22 4-11 1-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 9 5 -
Tarris Reed Jr. * 20 2-2 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 3 4 4 12 -
De'Aaron Fox * 18 3-5 2-2 1-1 3 4 0 0 0 9 11 -
Harrison Barnes 20 1-5 1-4 4-4 1 1 2 0 0 7 6 -
Carter Bryant 19 4-7 4-7 4-4 5 0 0 2 3 16 13 -
David Jones Garcia 17 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 4 0 -
Ja'Kobi Gillespie 14 4-11 3-7 2-4 4 4 1 0 4 13 7 -
Maliq Brown 13 2-2 1-1 3-5 3 1 0 0 0 8 10 -
Jordan McLaughlin 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 2 2 -
Jon Elmore 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 3 -

* = starter