Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Bradley-Terry | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Margin | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Pythagorean | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Adjusted Efficiency | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Log Adjusted | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Points Off/Def | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +5 (83-78). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli * | 38 | 3-12 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Arrinten Page * | 33 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Jayden Reid * | 27 | 6-15 | 2-3 | 11-14 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Angelo Ciaravino * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Tre Singleton * | 23 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Justin Mullins | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -13.5 |
| K.J. Windham | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jake West | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Max Green | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tyler Kropp | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Thomas * | 32 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Johann Grünloh * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | +10.5 |
| Dallin Hall * | 29 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Sam Lewis * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Thijs De Ridder * | 27 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Chance Mallory | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Jacari White | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ugonna Onyenso | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Devin Tillis | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter