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2026-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 20.7% 79.3% -
Bradley-Terry 21.8% 78.2% -
Margin 16.4% 83.6% +9.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% -
Efficiency 45.5% 54.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.7% 83.3% -
Log Adjusted 16.3% 83.7% -
Points Off/Def 29.7% 70.3% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +6 (76-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Martinelli 37 6-19 3-5 6-7 4 0 0 1 1 21 6 +8.1
J. West 35 7-8 4-5 0-0 0 4 1 0 1 18 14 +5.6
J. Reid 32 2-9 1-3 2-2 1 3 1 0 0 7 3 -8.6
A. Ciaravino 28 1-2 0-0 4-4 5 1 0 0 0 6 10 +3.0
T. Kropp 24 1-1 0-0 4-4 4 1 0 0 2 6 8 -5.8
T. Singleton 22 3-5 0-1 4-5 4 0 0 1 1 10 9 +0.2
J. Clayton 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.5
A. Page 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 0 -3.1
P. Gill 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -1.6

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Stirtz 40 12-20 4-6 8-8 2 2 2 0 3 36 19 +3.3
C. Koch 34 2-6 1-4 2-2 5 2 0 0 0 7 8 +5.5
T. Banks 30 3-9 0-2 7-7 7 2 1 0 2 13 12 +5.8
K. Combs 29 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 6 6 +0.0
A. Folgueiras 25 1-5 0-3 4-8 5 3 1 0 0 6 10 -6.4
C. Manyawu 17 2-4 0-0 0-2 3 2 1 0 0 4 6 +7.4
T. Sage 13 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -8.9
I. Howard 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +6.2

* = starter