Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | +13.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.4% | 84.6% | +9.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +6 (76-70). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli * | 37 | 6-19 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | +13.4 |
| Jake West * | 35 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | +7.8 |
| Jayden Reid * | 32 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | -8.6 |
| Tyler Kropp * | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -5.0 |
| Tre Singleton * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Angelo Ciaravino | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Jordan Clayton | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.5 |
| Arrinten Page | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Phoenix Gill | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -1.3 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz * | 40 | 12-20 | 4-6 | 8-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 19 | +13.6 |
| Cooper Koch * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +4.2 |
| Tavion Banks * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +8.4 |
| Kael Combs * | 29 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -2.5 |
| Cam Manyawu * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +9.8 |
| Alvaro Folgueiras | 25 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -7.3 |
| Tate Sage | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -9.6 |
| Isaia Howard | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +4.0 |
* = starter