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2026-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Minnesota Golden Gophers Spread Result
Elo 51.5% 48.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 46.7% 53.3% - โœ“
Margin 51.8% 48.2% -0.4 โœ— (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 48.5% 51.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 57.0% 43.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 57.1% 42.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 49.0% 51.0% - โœ“

Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers +1 (67-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Martinelli 39 9-18 1-5 4-6 9 1 1 0 1 23 15 +1.0
Jake West 32 5-9 4-7 0-0 0 4 0 0 3 14 6 -7.7
Jordan Clayton 30 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 6 0 0 1 6 6 +18.9
Tre Singleton 27 4-8 0-0 2-2 6 4 0 0 0 10 12 -1.5
Angelo Ciaravino 23 2-6 1-2 2-2 6 0 0 0 1 7 6 -9.3
Jayden Reid 18 0-4 0-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -4 -11.0
Justin Mullins 17 0-2 0-1 4-4 3 2 1 1 0 4 9 +7.5
Tyler Kropp 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -1.0

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grayson Grove 40 1-3 0-1 1-3 2 6 3 0 0 3 11 +3.6
Cade Tyson 40 5-11 0-3 5-5 4 1 0 0 2 15 7 +3.4
Langston Reynolds 39 9-13 0-1 3-4 3 4 0 0 4 21 11 +2.1
Isaac Asuma 37 4-7 2-3 4-4 8 4 1 0 2 14 18 +6.9
Bobby Durkin 36 4-8 4-8 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 12 10 +4.1
Kai Shinholster 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -1.3

* = starter