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2026-10-11

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 30.2% 69.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 28.0% 72.0% - ✓
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 ✓ (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.5% 59.5% - ✓
Efficiency 32.2% 67.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 40.1% 59.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 40.3% 59.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 34.1% 65.9% - ✓

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +15 (105-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Myles Turner * 24 2-7 1-5 0-0 2 0 1 5 4 5 2 -
Ryan Rollins * 23 5-15 2-8 0-0 4 2 3 2 0 12 8 -
Kyle Kuzma * 22 4-8 2-5 2-4 4 2 2 0 2 12 10 -
Tyler Herro * 22 6-13 3-6 3-3 7 2 0 0 1 18 13 -
Jaime Jaquez Jr. * 19 3-6 2-3 1-2 7 4 0 0 0 9 14 -
Jericho Sims * 15 3-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 6 9 -
Kel'el Ware 24 4-9 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 10 3 -
AJ Green 22 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 6 6 -
Kevin Porter Jr. 18 1-6 0-2 4-6 4 4 2 0 1 6 9 -
Caris LeVert 18 0-3 0-0 0-2 1 2 1 0 1 0 0 -
Gary Trent Jr. 13 0-8 0-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 -6 -
Pete Nance 6 1-2 0-1 1-2 4 1 0 1 0 3 7 -
Kam Jones 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jake Stephens 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Liam McNeeley * 27 4-11 3-8 0-0 0 5 2 0 0 11 7 -
Brandon Miller * 22 6-15 4-9 2-2 3 4 0 1 4 18 7 -
Naz Reid * 20 7-14 2-6 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 16 6 -
Moussa Diabaté * 20 3-5 0-0 2-4 11 2 1 2 1 8 18 -
Dennis Schröder * 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 3 7 -
Tidjane Salaün 22 1-8 1-7 2-2 7 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
Sion James 20 3-4 3-4 2-2 5 4 0 0 2 11 14 -
Royce O'Neale 16 4-7 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 9 4 -
Jarkel Joiner 12 1-2 1-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 4 5 -
Hannes Steinbach 12 4-10 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 8 3 -
Ryan Kalkbrenner 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
Pat Connaughton 12 0-2 0-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 2 1 1 -
Michael Ajayi 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 3 7 -
PJ Hall 8 2-6 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 4 3 -
Wyatt Fricks 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter