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2026-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 37.6% 62.4% -
Bradley-Terry 27.8% 72.2% -
Margin 23.1% 76.9% +6.6 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 37.6% 62.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.6% 73.4% -
Log Adjusted 26.6% 73.4% -
Points Off/Def 34.8% 65.2% -

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +1 (63-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Bittle 39 8-13 1-3 2-3 9 3 1 0 4 19 15 +4.3
TK Simpkins 36 5-12 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 11 3 +4.6
K. Evans Jr. 31 4-11 2-3 5-5 15 1 0 1 4 15 17 -8.9
D. Carter 26 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 5 0 0 1 3 3 +7.7
S. Stewart 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 1 4 6 +8.3
D. Lindsay 16 0-4 0-1 1-2 0 0 2 0 1 1 -2 -15.1
W. Lin 14 2-7 1-3 1-2 0 2 0 0 1 6 0 -8.4
J. Phillips 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 1 +10.1
L. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.9

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Martinelli 39 8-18 0-2 6-8 11 7 3 1 1 22 25 +0.0
J. West 33 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 5 0 -7.0
J. Reid 33 5-11 1-3 0-0 1 7 3 0 3 11 8 +9.1
A. Page 31 4-9 0-3 1-2 4 0 4 3 3 9 8 +0.4
T. Singleton 23 3-7 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 6 5 +4.7
A. Ciaravino 20 1-1 1-1 2-2 7 1 0 1 0 5 13 +0.9
J. Clayton 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 1 -1.6
T. Kropp 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 2 -1.2
M. Green 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter