Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.9% | 51.1% | +0.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +3 (61-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Singleton | 34 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +8.9 |
| J. Reid | 32 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 4 | +3.5 |
| A. Page | 30 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +4.9 |
| M. Green | 26 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +8.5 |
| J. Clayton | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +4.5 |
| K.J. Windham | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4.3 |
| A. Ciaravino | 18 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +0.2 |
| T. Kropp | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +4.3 |
| J. West | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +5.4 |
| J. Mullins | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ajayi | 36 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 29 | -8.1 |
| F. Bizjack | 31 | 2-10 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -3 | -2.3 |
| D. Jones | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7.2 |
| A. Robinson | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3.2 |
| E. Haywood | 22 | 3-10 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | -11.5 |
| J. Kaiser Jr. | 22 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Y. Traore | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1.1 |
| E. Oliogu-Elabor | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -5.3 |
| Y. Butler | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3.2 |
* = starter