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Minnesota Golden Gophers 84
@
Northwestern Wildcats 78
2026-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Golden Gophers Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 30.5% 69.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 37.5% 62.5% - ✗
Margin 29.1% 70.9% +4.9 ✗ (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% - ✗
Efficiency 1.6% 98.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 36.9% 63.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 36.9% 63.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 37.8% 62.2% - ✗

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -6 (78-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Tyson 40 6-13 1-4 11-12 5 6 0 0 3 24 19 +7.3
I. Asuma 40 6-11 4-7 2-2 9 1 0 0 1 18 16 +6.1
L. Reynolds 40 4-6 0-0 5-6 6 13 2 0 2 13 26 +6.8
B. Durkin 28 1-5 0-3 3-4 3 1 0 0 0 5 4 +3.3
J. Crocker-Johnson 27 4-9 1-4 1-2 2 2 0 0 3 10 2 +8.5
G. Grove 21 6-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 12 12 +3.2
K. Shinholster 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -1.9

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Martinelli 37 11-19 1-5 3-5 6 1 0 0 1 26 13 -1.5
J. Reid 32 6-12 2-6 5-5 2 7 0 0 1 19 15 -2.6
A. Page 31 5-10 1-2 8-10 3 2 2 3 1 19 18 -12.4
A. Ciaravino 26 3-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 7 6 -6.9
J. Clayton 25 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 4 0 1 0 0 1 +0.4
M. Green 18 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 5 5 -6.2
J. Mullins 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 2 6 +4.1
T. Singleton 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 +0.1
J. West 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 1 0 0 3 -2.9

* = starter