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2026-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 33.3% 66.7% -
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% -
Margin 25.0% 75.0% +6.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% -
Efficiency 54.1% 45.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.0% 71.0% -
Log Adjusted 28.8% 71.2% -
Points Off/Def 34.9% 65.1% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -4 (68-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Martinelli 39 12-21 1-3 3-4 5 3 0 0 2 28 13 -
J. West 36 4-9 3-5 5-6 2 1 0 0 2 16 8 -
T. Singleton 34 2-4 1-2 2-2 8 2 1 1 0 7 15 -
A. Page 27 3-6 1-1 3-4 6 4 2 1 3 10 14 -
A. Ciaravino 27 4-7 0-2 1-2 5 1 0 1 0 9 9 -
J. Reid 24 1-6 0-0 0-0 0 4 1 0 0 2 1 -
T. Kropp 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Clayton 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. DeVries 37 3-11 2-7 3-3 2 1 1 1 1 11 4 -
L. Wilkerson 36 5-17 4-11 4-4 5 3 1 0 2 18 8 -
N. Dorn 32 2-7 2-7 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 8 3 -
S. Alexis 26 6-7 0-0 1-2 4 3 0 0 1 13 12 -
C. Enright 25 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 5 0 0 3 0 2 -
T. Conerway 19 6-6 1-1 1-1 1 3 1 0 1 14 12 -
R. Bailey 14 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 1 1 1 4 -
J. Miles 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
T. Sisley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter