Model Predictions
| Model | Mexico City Capitanes | Wisconsin Herd | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.5% | 37.5% | -3.0 | ✓ (16.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.6% | 27.4% | -5.3 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wisconsin Herd -19 (97-116). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Mexico City Capitanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Bouknight * | 34 | 4-14 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Boo Buie III * | 31 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| RJ Melendez * | 26 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Tomas Chapero * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Reynan dos Santos * | 12 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Andersson Garcia | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Wade Taylor IV | 29 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Felipe Haase | 29 | 9-13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| LJ Figueroa | 25 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Jordan Minor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Esteban Ezequiel Roacho Amador | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Wisconsin Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Thompson * | 40 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 21 | - |
| John Butler Jr. * | 30 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Mark Sears * | 28 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Kobe Stewart * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Lacey James * | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 28 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Alex Antetokounmpo | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Johnny Davis | 18 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Justyn Hamilton | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jeremiah Tilmon | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Onno Steger | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter