Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.8% | 91.2% | +12.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +10 (76-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Martinelli | 39 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 10-10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 22 | -8.9 |
| J. Reid | 29 | 3-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -11.7 |
| M. Green | 24 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +5.8 |
| J. Clayton | 20 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -16.3 |
| J. Mullins | 20 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -20.9 |
| T. Singleton | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -14.4 |
| A. Ciaravino | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +12.3 |
| J. West | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.1 |
| A. Page | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3.9 |
| T. Kropp | 10 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +6.7 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Cooper | 33 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 21 | +5.2 |
| J. Kohler | 30 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 10 | +4.5 |
| J. Fears Jr. | 29 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | +13.5 |
| C. Carr | 26 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +2.9 |
| D. Ugochukwu | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -8.1 |
| K. Teng | 20 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +14.6 |
| J. Scott | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +12.7 |
| C. Ward | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +11.7 |
| D. Wojcik | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.8 |
| T. Fort | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| J. McCulloch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
* = starter