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2026-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 85.8% 14.2% -
Bradley-Terry 72.8% 27.2% -
Margin 86.2% 13.8% -10.1 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% -
Efficiency 10.6% 89.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.9% 11.1% -
Log Adjusted 89.1% 10.9% -
Points Off/Def 69.6% 30.4% -

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -4 (66-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith 40 1-5 0-3 5-5 3 9 0 0 4 7 10 -
F. Loyer 31 4-9 2-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 10 4 -
O. Cluff 30 4-5 0-0 1-2 7 3 1 1 2 9 14 -
T. Kaufman-Renn 29 5-9 0-0 1-2 10 2 0 0 4 11 10 -
C.J. Cox 28 10-13 5-8 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 27 20 -
J. Benter 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
G. Harris 12 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 1 -
O. Mayer 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Jacobsen 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Martinelli 38 9-19 2-5 8-8 1 3 0 0 1 28 12 -
J. Reid 34 6-10 2-3 2-2 0 4 2 1 3 16 10 -
A. Page 26 3-5 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 2 0 7 8 -
J. Mullins 26 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Singleton 25 1-4 0-2 1-2 3 2 1 0 2 3 3 -
J. Clayton 24 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 2 3 0 0 8 10 -
A. Ciaravino 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
T. Kropp 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
K.J. Windham 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter