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Illinois Fighting Illini

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Illinois Fighting Illini
Program History
Coach: Brad Underwood

2022 Team Stats (20 games)

73.9
PPG
66.8
Opp
+7.2
Margin
44.9%
FG%
34.7%
3P%
67.8%
FT%
36.4
RPG
15.1
APG
11.5
TO
78.3
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1589 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1506 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1102 (#59) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +41.8 (#10) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +22.9 (#41) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.647 (#34) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +4.9 More → 0.632 (#80) NetEff +4.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.0 More → 0.834 (#18) AdjNet +14.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.1 More → 0.836 (#18) AdjNet +14.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 64.5 More → 0.646 (#74) AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 64.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.912 (#23) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.885 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 31 More → 1295 (#27) RD 105 | GP 31

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs Jackson State Tigers W 71 - 47
2021-11-12 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 92 - 53
2021-11-15 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 66 - 67
2021-11-22 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 51 - 71
2021-11-23 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 72 - 64
2021-11-26 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 94 - 85
2021-11-29 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 82 - 72
2021-12-03 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 86 - 51
2021-12-11 vs Arizona Wildcats L 79 - 83
2021-12-18 vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash W 106 - 48
2021-12-22 vs Missouri Tigers W 88 - 63
2022-01-04 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 76 - 53
2022-01-11 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers W 81 - 71
2022-01-14 vs Michigan Wolverines W 68 - 53
2022-01-17 vs Purdue Boilermakers L 88 - 96
2022-01-21 @ Maryland Terrapins L 65 - 81
2022-01-25 vs Michigan State Spartans W 56 - 55
2022-01-29 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 59 - 56
2022-02-02 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 80 - 67
2022-02-05 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 74 - 57
2022-02-08 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 68 - 84
2022-02-13 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 73 - 66
2022-02-16 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 59 - 70
2022-02-19 @ Michigan State Spartans W 79 - 74
2022-02-24 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 83 - 86
2022-02-27 @ Michigan Wolverines W 93 - 85
2022-03-03 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 60 - 55
2022-03-06 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 74 - 72
2022-03-11 vs Indiana Hoosiers L 63 - 65
2022-03-18 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 54 - 53
2022-03-20 vs Houston Cougars L 53 - 68

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. Cockburn K. Cockburn C 23 31.1 20.1 9.9 0.7 0.8 1.0 2.5 12.0 18.2 159 5.7 7.6 58.5 0 61.8 1.4 68.4 58.5
A. Plummer A. Plummer G 27 29.5 14.3 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.2 9.8 6.7 212 6.4 8.8 41.3 42.1 81.8 1.87 67.1 55.5
Myles Thompson Myles Thompson - 1 29.0 12.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.0 -76 -3.6 -5.9 0 0 0 -0.06 0 0
T. Frazier T. Frazier G 26 34.9 11.5 2.6 4.3 1.4 0.2 1.7 9.0 9.2 161 5.2 6.1 40.6 32.9 83.9 1.36 57.8 50.6
J. Jones J. Jones F 1 27.0 10.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 80 2.4 3.6 0 0 0 0.3 0 0
J. Grandison J. Grandison - 24 24.7 8.8 3.8 2.1 0.4 0.2 1.2 6.2 7.9 177 5.9 9.5 42.7 36.6 78.9 1.57 66.9 54.0
A. Curbelo A. Curbelo G 19 19.3 7.5 3.1 3.2 0.7 0.1 2.8 7.2 4.5 -21 -1.1 -2.3 32.8 16.7 72.9 -0.41 44.9 34.7
C. Hawkins C. Hawkins - 31 18.8 5.8 4.1 1.5 0.8 0.5 1.3 3.4 7.9 80 2.4 5.2 44.2 29.5 63.3 0.79 71.3 50.5
R. Gonzales-Agee R. Gonzales-Agee F 1 18.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
R. Melendez R. Melendez F 22 8.5 3.8 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.5 1.6 4.5 63 2.9 12.6 57.1 63.6 100.0 0.49 98.9 67.1
D. Williams D. Williams G 27 28.1 3.4 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.4 0.9 3.4 7.4 -43 -1.4 -2.9 30.1 27.6 40.0 1.71 45.7 38.7
A. Hutcherson A. Hutcherson G 4 15.2 2.8 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.2 1.5 1.5 3.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0.0 -0.28 85.4 50.0
L. Goode L. Goode - 26 9.2 2.2 1.8 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.5 2.8 65 2.3 10.8 30.0 33.3 66.7 0.78 67.8 42.5
B. Seidel B. Seidel - 1 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
O. Payne O. Payne - 26 7.2 1.9 1.8 0.2 0.1 0.7 0.5 1.1 3.0 - - - 62.1 0 54.2 -0.02 63.2 62.1
Benjamin Bosmans-Verdonk Benjamin Bosmans-Verdonk F 19 7.7 1.8 2.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.3 36 1.5 7.6 45.8 0 33.3 0.15 58.1 45.8
B. Lieb B. Lieb - 7 2.6 1.1 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.6 - - - 66.7 0 0.0 - 116.3 66.7
B. Podziemski B. Podziemski - 13 3.6 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.9 - - - 28.6 20.0 0 -0.46 85.7 35.7
A. Miller A. Miller G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 60 5.5 15.1 - - - 0.58 - -
C. Serven C. Serven F 4 2.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
H. Koval H. Koval C 1 12.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 12 0.4 1.2 0 0 0 0.15 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG