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2022-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 34.0% 66.0% -
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% -
Margin 25.2% 74.8% +6.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -
Efficiency 20.3% 79.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% -
Log Adjusted 42.6% 57.4% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +15 (68-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Brooks * 36 3-11 0-1 1-1 4 1 0 0 0 7 1 -
T. Williams II * 31 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Jones * 30 7-16 1-2 2-2 6 1 3 0 1 17 10 -
C. Houstan * 25 2-9 0-4 1-3 4 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
M. Diabate * 20 4-8 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 3 9 4 -
K. Bufkin 18 3-5 0-1 0-2 2 0 1 0 2 6 2 -
Ja. Howard 15 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 1 1 2 3 -
F. Collins 13 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 2 2 0 2 5 5 -
J. Faulds 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Podziemski 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Plummer * 39 5-12 1-5 4-4 3 1 0 0 1 15 6 -
T. Frazier * 34 5-11 2-8 6-6 3 7 1 0 3 18 15 -
K. Cockburn * 33 8-13 0-0 5-7 10 1 0 1 3 21 17 -
J. Grandison * 28 2-5 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 6 3 -
D. Williams * 25 2-6 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 5 0 -
C. Hawkins 26 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 -
O. Payne 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
L. Goode 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
B. Bosmans-Verdonk 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Melendez 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter