Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.2% | 74.8% | +6.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +15 (68-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Brooks * | 36 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| T. Williams II * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Jones * | 30 | 7-16 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| C. Houstan * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| M. Diabate * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. Bufkin | 18 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Ja. Howard | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| F. Collins | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Faulds | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Podziemski | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Plummer * | 39 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| T. Frazier * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| K. Cockburn * | 33 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| J. Grandison * | 28 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Williams * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| C. Hawkins | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| O. Payne | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Goode | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Bosmans-Verdonk | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Melendez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter