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2021-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Marquette Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 83.3% 16.7% -
Bradley-Terry 49.6% 50.4% -
Margin 56.0% 44.0% -1.3 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 67.1% 32.9% -
Efficiency 75.9% 24.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.8% 12.2% -
Log Adjusted 87.9% 12.1% -

Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles +1 (67-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Frazier * 37 7-15 6-10 3-3 5 2 2 0 3 23 14 -
C. Hawkins * 32 6-12 1-4 0-1 8 1 0 0 5 13 5 -
J. Grandison * 30 4-9 2-4 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 10 7 -
A. Curbelo * 26 4-18 0-3 3-4 8 3 1 1 7 11 -1 -
O. Payne * 21 3-3 0-0 1-3 5 1 1 1 3 7 9 -
D. Williams 31 0-2 0-1 0-0 11 2 2 0 1 0 12 -
A. Plummer 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
B. Bosmans-Verdonk 9 0-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
L. Goode 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Kolek * 37 5-11 2-3 0-1 5 5 2 0 2 12 11 -
O. Prosper * 17 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 1 2 1 1 2 3 -
K. Jones 16 2-7 0-3 2-3 2 2 2 0 1 6 4 -
S. Mitchell 15 0-2 0-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
O. Ighodaro 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
D. Joplin 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -

* = starter