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2022-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 49.3% 50.7% -
Bradley-Terry 59.4% 40.6% -
Margin 52.6% 47.4% -0.6 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% -
Efficiency 73.7% 26.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.4% 48.6% -
Log Adjusted 51.4% 48.6% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -8 (85-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Frazier * 38 6-11 3-3 2-3 2 3 1 0 0 17 12 -
K. Cockburn * 34 11-15 0-0 5-9 7 1 2 0 3 27 19 -
J. Grandison * 29 1-4 0-2 1-2 4 4 0 0 0 3 7 -
A. Plummer * 23 8-12 6-9 4-6 2 1 0 0 1 26 16 -
D. Williams * 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Hawkins 27 2-7 1-2 1-3 4 1 1 0 1 6 4 -
A. Curbelo 20 5-7 0-1 2-2 3 3 0 0 4 12 7 -
L. Goode 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
O. Payne 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Brooks * 37 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 4 3 -
C. Houstan * 36 6-8 2-3 7-7 2 0 2 0 1 21 16 -
H. Dickinson * 34 4-13 1-5 4-6 11 1 0 1 3 13 10 -
D. Jones * 33 8-16 2-6 7-7 3 10 2 0 3 25 21 -
M. Diabate * 30 5-9 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 1 1 12 8 -
B. Johns Jr. 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Bufkin 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
F. Collins 7 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
T. Williams II 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter