Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.1% | 83.9% | +9.1 | ✗ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -2 (63-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Phinisee | 25 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| P. Stewart | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Geronimo | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Bates | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| X. Johnson * | 36 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| T. Jackson-Davis * | 36 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| R. Thompson * | 25 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| M. Kopp * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| T. Galloway | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Frazier * | 38 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| A. Plummer * | 34 | 2-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2 | - |
| K. Cockburn * | 33 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 21 | - |
| C. Hawkins * | 32 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| D. Williams * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| A. Curbelo | 28 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| O. Payne | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Goode | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Melendez | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter