Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +7 (73-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Roper II | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Simmons | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| E. Williams | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Buie * | 31 | 3-13 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| C. Audige * | 31 | 4-15 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| P. Nance * | 22 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| R. Beran * | 20 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. Young | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Berry | 21 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| R. Greer | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Nicholson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Plummer * | 33 | 7-16 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 3 | - |
| T. Frazier * | 33 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Cockburn * | 28 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 19 | - |
| J. Grandison * | 25 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Williams * | 23 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| R. Melendez | 17 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| A. Curbelo | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Hawkins | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| O. Payne | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Bosmans-Verdonk | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter