Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Kansas State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.8% | 31.2% | -4.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kansas State Wildcats -8 (64-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Cockburn * | 32 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 7-13 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 26 | - |
| D. Williams * | 31 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Frazier * | 27 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Hawkins * | 25 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Curbelo * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| A. Hutcherson | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Plummer | 19 | 7-10 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| J. Grandison | 18 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Bosmans-Verdonk | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| O. Payne | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Pack | 30 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| M. McGuirl | 22 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| S. Miguel | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Bradford | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Ezeagu | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Kasubke | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| I. Massoud * | 32 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Ma. Smith * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Nowell | 25 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| L. Landers | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter