Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +1 (56-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Brown | 30 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| M. Bingham Jr. | 18 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| J. Marble | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Christie * | 31 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Walker * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Hauser * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Hall | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| A. Hoggard | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Akins | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Sissoko | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Frazier * | 36 | 6-15 | 2-10 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| A. Plummer * | 36 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| D. Williams * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Grandison * | 24 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| B. Bosmans-Verdonk * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| L. Goode | 28 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| O. Payne | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| C. Hawkins | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Lieb | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter