Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.9% | 32.1% | -4.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -3 (56-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Frazier * | 40 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | - |
| J. Grandison * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Williams * | 32 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | - |
| K. Cockburn * | 30 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 12 | - |
| A. Plummer * | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| R. Melendez | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Hawkins | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| O. Payne | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| B. Podziemski | 6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| L. Goode | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Bosmans-Verdonk | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Williams | 24 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Roper II | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Buie * | 30 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| P. Nance * | 27 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| C. Audige * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. Beran * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Greer | 25 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Berry | 21 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| R. Young | 13 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Nicholson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter