Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.4% | 99.6% | +30.4 | ✓ (27.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +58 (106-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramiir Dixon-Conover * | 33 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Ronell Giles * | 33 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Myles Thompson * | 29 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Maxwell Land * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mark Flagg * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Josh Cohen | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Luke Ruggery | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Zahree Harrison | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Marlon Hargis | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jeriah Coleman | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ben Seidel | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brendan Scanlon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brad McCabe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Grandison * | 27 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| D. Williams * | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| T. Frazier * | 27 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Cockburn * | 26 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 24 | - |
| A. Plummer * | 22 | 6-11 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Luke Goode | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| B. Podziemski | 12 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Benjamin Bosmans-Verdonk | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| RJ Melendez | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Coleman Hawkins | 9 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| O. Payne | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Lieb | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Connor Serven | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter