Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +16 (84-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Frazier * | 33 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Plummer * | 32 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| D. Williams * | 28 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Cockburn * | 27 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| J. Grandison * | 21 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| A. Curbelo | 21 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| R. Melendez | 10 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| C. Hawkins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Bosmans-Verdonk | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Goode | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| O. Payne | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| B. Podziemski | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Lieb | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Serven | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ivey | 36 | 10-17 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 17 | - |
| S. Stefanovic | 36 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| E. Hunter Jr. | 29 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. Williams | 15 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| I. Thompson | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Gillis * | 28 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Z. Edey * | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| C. Furst | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| E. Morton | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Wulbrun | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter