Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Nittany Lions | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +5 (60-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Lee | 33 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| D. Johnson | 28 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Harrar | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| S. Sessoms | 12 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| J. White | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Dorsey | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Pickett * | 40 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| S. Lundy * | 34 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| M. Dread | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Cockburn * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| T. Frazier * | 34 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Williams * | 33 | 4-11 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| A. Plummer * | 32 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Grandison * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Curbelo | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| C. Hawkins | 12 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Goode | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| O. Payne | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter