Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -8 (88-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ivey | 42 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 13-15 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 20 | - |
| S. Stefanovic | 41 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 5-9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| E. Hunter Jr. | 31 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| T. Williams | 23 | 6-18 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | - |
| I. Thompson | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| B. Newman | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Gillis * | 43 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Z. Edey * | 27 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| E. Morton | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Furst | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Frazier * | 48 | 7-16 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| D. Williams * | 45 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | - |
| A. Plummer * | 43 | 8-19 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 8 | - |
| J. Grandison * | 29 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| K. Cockburn * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. Curbelo | 26 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| B. Bosmans-Verdonk | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| O. Payne | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Goode | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Hawkins | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter