Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.0% | 34.0% | -3.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -17 (57-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Frazier * | 36 | 8-11 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 19 | - |
| D. Williams * | 35 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| K. Cockburn * | 34 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| A. Plummer * | 33 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| J. Grandison * | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Curbelo | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| C. Hawkins | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Melendez | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Goode | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| O. Payne | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Stewart | 26 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| T. Bates | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Geronimo | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Lander | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| X. Johnson * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| R. Thompson * | 30 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| T. Jackson-Davis * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Kopp * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Galloway | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter