Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | +6.7 | ✗ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -3 (83-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E.J. Liddell * | 35 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| M. Branham * | 33 | 10-14 | 1-1 | 10-11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 22 | - |
| J. Wheeler * | 29 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| E. Brown III * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Z. Key * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Young | 28 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| C. Russell | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| M. Johnson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Ahrens | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Brunk | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Grandison | 31 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| T. Frazier | 31 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| A. Plummer | 29 | 9-15 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 14 | - |
| D. Williams | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Cockburn | 24 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -1 | - |
| A. Curbelo | 19 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| O. Payne | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Podziemski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Hawkins | 26 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| L. Goode | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter