Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✗ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -5 (74-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Frazier * | 37 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J. Grandison * | 31 | 8-12 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| K. Cockburn * | 31 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 19 | - |
| D. Williams * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Plummer * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| C. Hawkins | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Curbelo | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Melendez | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| O. Payne | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| B. Bosmans-Verdonk | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Marble | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| G. Brown | 21 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| M. Bingham Jr. | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| P. Brooks | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Christie * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A. Hoggard * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| J. Hauser * | 22 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| T. Walker | 26 | 10-12 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 20 | - |
| M. Hall | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Akins | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Sissoko | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter