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2021-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 48.3% 51.7% -
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% -
Margin 50.1% 49.9% -0.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% -
Efficiency 87.6% 12.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% -
Log Adjusted 51.4% 48.6% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -4 (79-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Koloko 28 2-7 0-0 0-0 7 0 3 4 1 4 10 -
B. Mathurin * 39 10-17 5-8 5-6 7 1 1 0 5 30 17 -
K. Kriisa * 38 7-16 2-8 3-4 8 5 0 0 4 19 12 -
A. Tubelis * 34 7-13 0-0 2-6 8 3 3 1 1 16 17 -
D. Terry * 22 2-5 0-2 2-2 1 2 1 0 1 6 4 -
P. Larsson 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 2 2 4 -
O. Ballo 12 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
J. Kier 11 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Frazier * 38 9-15 6-11 3-4 4 1 5 1 0 27 23 -
A. Plummer * 37 8-16 6-14 3-3 4 1 0 0 5 25 9 -
K. Cockburn * 33 5-15 0-0 3-6 13 1 1 1 5 13 9 -
D. Williams * 29 0-3 0-1 0-0 5 3 0 1 2 0 4 -
C. Hawkins * 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 0 0 -
J. Grandison 31 5-13 4-9 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 14 10 -
O. Payne 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
L. Goode 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
R. Melendez 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Bosmans-Verdonk 2 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter