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Duke

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Duke Blue Devils, Duke
Program History
Coach: Mike Krzyzewski

2015 Team Stats (30 games)

77.4
PPG
65.6
Opp
+11.8
Margin
49.2%
FG%
38.0%
3P%
69.5%
FT%
36.8
RPG
14.6
APG
11.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
80.9
Adj PPG
59.2
Adj Opp PPG
#2
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1530 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1466 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More → 1292 (#1) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +23.0 (#2) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +23.4 (#3) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.919 (#8) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +35.2 More → 0.984 (#4) AdjNet +35.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +35.7 More → 0.984 (#4) AdjNet +35.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.9 | AdjD 59.2 More → 0.878 (#2) AdjO 80.9 | AdjD 59.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 58.7 More → 0.834 (#3) AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 58.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.942 (#3) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.938 (#3) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 87 | GP 39 More → 1501 (#3) RD 87 | GP 39

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 113 - 44
2014-11-15 vs Fairfield Stags W 109 - 59
2014-11-18 vs Michigan State Spartans W 81 - 71
2014-11-21 vs Temple Owls W 74 - 54
2014-11-22 vs Stanford Cardinal W 70 - 59
2014-11-26 vs Furman Paladins W 93 - 54
2014-11-30 vs Army Black Knights W 93 - 73
2014-12-03 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 80 - 70
2014-12-15 vs Elon Phoenix W 75 - 62
2014-12-18 vs UConn Huskies W 66 - 56
2014-12-29 vs Toledo Rockets W 86 - 69
2014-12-31 vs Wofford Terriers W 84 - 55
2015-01-03 vs Boston College Eagles W 85 - 62
2015-01-07 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 73 - 65
2015-01-11 @ NC State Wolfpack L 75 - 87
2015-01-13 vs Miami Hurricanes L 74 - 90
2015-01-17 @ Louisville Cardinals W 63 - 52
2015-01-19 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 79 - 65
2015-01-25 @ St. John's Red Storm W 77 - 68
2015-01-28 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 73 - 77
2015-01-31 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 69 - 63
2015-02-04 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 72 - 66
2015-02-07 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 90 - 60
2015-02-09 @ Florida State Seminoles W 73 - 70
2015-02-14 @ Syracuse Orange W 80 - 72
2015-02-18 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 92 - 90
2015-02-21 vs Clemson Tigers W 78 - 56
2015-02-25 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 91 - 86
2015-02-28 vs Syracuse Orange W 73 - 54
2015-03-04 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 94 - 51
2015-03-07 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 84 - 77
2015-03-12 vs NC State Wolfpack W 77 - 53
2015-03-13 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 64 - 74
2015-03-20 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 85 - 56
2015-03-22 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 68 - 49
2015-03-27 vs Utah Utes W 63 - 57
2015-03-29 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs W 66 - 52
2015-04-04 vs Michigan State Spartans W 81 - 61
2015-04-06 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 68 - 63

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jahlil Okafor Jahlil Okafor - 36 30.3 17.2 8.6 1.2 0.8 1.4 2.6 9.1 17.6 267 29 9.2 13.6 67.7 0 51.2 0.62 76.8 67.7
Quinn Cook Quinn Cook G 37 36.2 15.5 3.5 2.6 1.0 0.0 1.2 9.7 11.7 359 30 12.0 14.7 43.7 38.6 88.3 2.07 71.7 55.3
Justise Winslow Justise Winslow - 37 29.2 13.0 6.6 2.1 1.3 0.9 1.8 7.8 14.4 335 30 11.2 15.8 49.7 43.7 64.6 3.69 72.4 56.2
Tyus Jones Tyus Jones - 37 34.1 11.9 3.5 5.6 1.6 0.1 2.0 7.2 13.4 388 30 12.9 16.9 41.6 38.6 89.8 6.16 67.9 48.9
Rasheed Sulaimon Rasheed Sulaimon G 18 19.2 7.0 1.9 1.7 1.0 0.1 1.4 5.3 5.0 102 16 6.4 16.1 40.6 41.9 73.1 0.1 58.6 50.0
Amile Jefferson Amile Jefferson F 37 21.1 5.9 5.7 0.8 0.5 0.7 1.1 3.1 9.5 167 30 5.6 12.1 61.1 0 53.5 -0.95 75.2 61.1
Matt Jones Matt Jones G 37 21.9 5.9 2.4 1.0 1.0 0.1 0.8 4.7 4.8 233 30 7.8 15.6 38.5 36.3 75.0 1.35 59.1 48.0
Grayson Allen Grayson Allen - 34 9.1 4.4 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.4 2.3 3.4 150 26 5.8 28.1 41.0 35.9 83.3 4.47 78.9 50.0
Semi Ojeleye Semi Ojeleye F 5 9.6 2.4 2.2 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 1.6 3.8 38 5 7.6 39.1 12.5 14.3 50.0 0.34 61.5 18.8
Marshall Plumlee Marshall Plumlee C 37 9.6 2.2 2.4 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.9 4.4 153 30 5.1 23.7 78.8 100.0 68.0 3.29 92.0 80.3
Nick Pagliuca Nick Pagliuca G 10 1.6 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 11 7 1.6 33.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.58 150.0 0.0
Sean Kelly Sean Kelly G 10 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 7 8 0.9 28.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.93 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG